悲观的民主党推动密歇根大学通胀预期上升
UMich Inflation Expectations Rise, Driven By Downbeat Democrats

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/umich-inflation-expectations-rise-driven-downbeat-democrats

密歇根大学情绪调查标题升至今年 4 月以来的最高水平,这要归功于选举后当前状况的飙升,这超过了预期的下降……资料来源:彭博社 通胀预期与短期上涨混合在一起。选举后长期下降...资料来源:彭博社但是按政党细分通胀预期...很容易看出联邦公开市场委员会的倾向...资料来源:彭博社 总体而言,共和党人比民主党人更有信心自选举以来...资料来源:彭博社密歇根大学调查主任 Joanne Hsu 指出:“总体而言,消费者认为,随着通胀放缓,经济已显着改善,但他们并不认为经济正在蓬勃发展;目前的情绪大约处于 2019 年历史最低点的中间位置。” 2022 年 6 月和大流行前的读数。”

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原文

The headline UMich Sentiment survey rose to its highest since April to end the year, thanks to a post-election surge in Current Conditions that more than dominated a dip in Expectations...

Source: Bloomberg

Inflation expectations were mixed with the short-term rising and longer-term falling post-election...

Source: Bloomberg

But breaking down inflation expectation by political party... it's pretty easy to see which way The FOMC leans...

Source: Bloomberg

Overall, Republicans are significantly more confident than Democrats since the election...

Source: Bloomberg

UMich's Director of Surveys, Joanne Hsu, notes that "Broadly speaking, consumers believe that the economy has improved considerably as inflation has slowed, but they do not feel that they are thriving; sentiment is currently about midway between the all-time low reached in June 2022 and pre-pandemic readings."

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