费城联邦储备银行的未来预期显示,货物/资本支出接近“雷曼”水平以来的最差水平。
Philly Fed Future Expectations For Shipments/CapEx Near 'Worst Since Lehman' Levels

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/philly-fed-future-expectations-shipmentscapex-near-worse-lehman-levels

在10月份,费城联邦商业调查的得分意外下降至-9,低于预期的-7,这主要是由于经济状况疲弱。在连续两个月记录负面情况后,出现了这一下降。具体来说,35%的企业表示总体活动下降,导致指数在过去十六年的水平创纪录低位。尽管一些指标如新订单和发货显示适度增长,但它们仍然处于低迷水平。然而,对未来商业条件的展望仍然悲观,显著下降的指数涉及新订单、发货和资本投资。这些数字代表了自2008年金融危机以来最糟糕的水平,可以将其视为即将出现的衰退或未来经济条件的挑战。

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原文

The headline Philly Fed Business Sector Outlook survey print was -9 in October, worse than the -7 expected, but a small bounce from the -13 print in September, as almost 35% of the firms reported decreases in general activity this month.

That is the end of the good news.

This is the index’s 15th negative reading in the past 17 months.

Source: Bloomberg

While general activity remained negative, indicators for new orders and shipments were positive but low, and and both price indexes indicate overall increases in prices. The percentage of firms reporting increases in input prices (29%) exceeded the percentage reporting decreases (6%).

However, it gets worse, as future indicators declined significantly.

The future new orders index decreased 7 points to 18.9, while the future shipments index dropped 25 points to 5.4, its lowest reading since May.

The future capital expenditures index fell from 7.5 to ‑4.8, offsetting its increase from last month.

Source: Bloomberg

Those are equal to the weakest levels since 'Lehman' in 2008... Bidenomics?

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