30年期债券拍卖尾盘疲软,尽管外国需求强劲,但交易商参与度创历史新低。
30Y Auction Tails Despite Solid Foreign Demand, Record Low Dealers

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/30y-auction-tails-despite-solid-foreign-demand-record-low-dealers

美国财政部30年期债券拍卖以4.734%的收益率结束,略高于上月,但仍接近近期低点。 拍卖出现了一点“尾部”——意味着“待发行”市场需求略低于预期——但总体而言被认为结果积极。 需求强劲,投标覆盖率为2.38,间接竞标者(外国央行)的参与度达到64.5%,为6月以来最高水平。 直接竞标者(国内投资者)也表现出强烈的兴趣。 因此,交易商持有的债券比例降至历史新低的8.7%。 尽管出现轻微尾部,市场反应良好,30年期债券价格在拍卖结果公布后保持稳定,表明整体需求信心。 这标志着本周国债拍卖的结束,虽然不惊艳,但也没有发出重大担忧的信号。

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原文

After two decidedly subpar coupon auctions earlier this week - a soggy 3Y and a disappointing 10Y - moments ago we got the week's final sale, this time of 30Y paper and this one too could have been stronger (although it also could have been worse). 

The reopening of 29Y-10M cusip UM8 priced at a high yield of 4.734%, which while up from 4.651% last month, was still the second lowest since March. It also tailed the When Issued 4.730% by a modest 0.4bps, the 3rd tail in the last 4 auctions.

The bid to cover was 2.382, virtually unchanged fractionally higher than 2.376 last month, and above the six-auction average of 2.367%. 

The internals were better with Indirects awarded 64.5%, up from 62.0% in Sept and the highest since June. And with Directs also taking down a solid 26.9%, Dealers were left with just 8.7%, the lowest on record, a solid results all else equal.

Overall, aside from the modest tail, this was a good auction...

... and the market agrees, with the price of the 30Y flat on news of the solid (if not stellar) auction. 

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