官方首次失业救济金数据发布,但…
'Official' Initial Jobless Claims Data Released, But...

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/official-initial-jobless-claims-data-released

最近的劳动力市场数据在政府停摆六周后终于发布,但有较大延迟。截至10月18日当周的首次失业救济金申请人数为232,000人,出人意料地表现强劲,与预测的疲软情况相反——但这些数据已经有一个月前。 虽然全国数据看起来不错,但未经调整的州级数据确实显示失业救济金申请人数有所上升,尤其是在三州地区。持续申请人数也增加了,但仍低于夏季峰值。 存在一个关键矛盾:官方数据表明市场具有韧性,但私营部门报告显示宣布的裁员数量明显加速。这造成了相互矛盾的信号,分析师预计未来几天发布的数据很可能也会呈现类似的复杂局面,因为积压的数据正在处理中。

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原文

After more than six weeks of government shutdown, official macro data is starting to flow... but it's lagged.

The number of Americans applying for jobless benefits for the first time totaled 232,000 in the week ended Oct. 18, according to the Labor Department website. This print certainly shows no sign of the potential weakness that many have anticipated (but then again it's a month old).

Source: Bloomberg

However, unadjusted state-level claims data was released, and that confirmed a pick up in initial jobless benefit demands... especially in the 'Deep TriState'...

Source: Bloomberg

Continuing jobless claims picked up, but remains below mid-summer highs...

Source: Bloomberg

So, now we know that a month ago, claims data showed a still resilient labor market.. but we also know - based on private data suppliers - that job cut announcements have accelerated notably...

Source: Bloomberg

So, choose your own adventure with this data. We suspect there will be a lot more of this in the next few days as more and more (delayed) data is released.

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