平庸的5年期国债拍卖尾盘,因外国需求下滑。
Mediocre 5Y Auction Tails As Foreign Demand Slides

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/mediocre-5y-auction-tails-foreign-demand-slides

美国财政部最近的700亿美元5年期国债拍卖中,收益率降至3.562%,为去年9月以来最低水平,反映了市场可能预期美联储将降息。尽管投标覆盖率(2.41)为数月来最高,但仍处于一个狭窄的历史范围内。 然而,拍卖显示了主要参与者的需求减弱。外国买家(间接投标者)的参与度下降至61.35%,而交易商的分配比例增加至11.0%。直接竞标者(国内投资者)也增加了参与度。 尽管这些内部情况有些令人担忧,但拍卖在很大程度上未引起关注,因为积极的市场情绪——受到潜在政策转变报告的推动——掩盖了任何潜在的担忧,并推动了广泛的资产购买。总体而言,此次拍卖被认为是平平之辈,但受益于目前偏鸽派的市场趋势。

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原文

After yesterday's sale of $69BN in 2Y notes, which came smack in the middle of market expectations with metrics that were just about average, moments ago the US Treasury sold $70BN in 5Y notes at a high yield of 3.562%, down from 3.625% last month and the lowest since last September when the Fed launched its current rate cut cycle; the auction tailed the When Issued 3.557% by 0.5bps, and was the 5th tailing 5Y auction of the past 6.

The bid to cover was 2.41, better than last month's 2.38 and the highest since April, although for a metric that has a 5bps range this is hardly a huge achievement: as shown in the chart below, the BtC has moved in a 3bps range around 2.40 for the past 3 years!

The internals were less impressive, with Indirects (i.e. foreign buyers) sliding to 61.35% from 66.84% and below the recent average of 64.7%. And with Directs rising to 27.6% from 23.9%, Dealers were left with 11.0% of the allocation, up from 9.3% last month but below the 10.4% recent average. 

In summary, it was another mediocre auction although with yields sliding across the curve after the Hassett report (which may or may not be a trial balloon), it appears that nobody noticed as the dovish euphoria swept across markets to contain the early selling and boost buying across all asset classes. 

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