持续领取失业救济金人数跌至8个月低点。
Continuing Jobless Claims Plummet To 8 Month Lows

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/continuing-jobless-claims-plummet-8-month-lows

## 失业救济金申请数据喜忧参半,加州是关键因素 上周首次申请失业救济金人数增加至236,000人,从前一周的历史低点192,000人回升——这一数字可能受到季节性调整问题的影响。回归“正常”范围对整体劳动力市场而言并非令人担忧。 值得注意的是,*持续*申请失业救济金人数大幅下降。这可能源于首次申请数据的异常,但也可能表明积极趋势正在进一步显现。具体而言,加州的持续申请人数自夏季以来一直在稳步下降。 有推测认为,这一下降可能与加州最近针对领取失业救济金的无证工人的执法行动有关,但尚未得到证实。总体而言,数据显示情况复杂,可能既有统计修正,也有劳动力市场真正改善的潜力。

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原文

After plunging near 60 year lows in the prior week (at 192k), initial jobless claims rebounded (as many expected) to 236k last week - back into the 'normal' range and nothing at all to worry about from a labor market perspective...

Source: Bloomberg

Sure enough it was California in large part that was responsible for the chaos...

Source: Bloomberg

But while initial claims rebounded back to 'normal', continuing jobless claims plummeted

Source: Bloomberg

We assume whatever screw-up that seasonal adjustments caused in initial claims the week before have rippled through to the continuing claims data this week, but still - taken at face value, it's great news!

However, there could be an even more silver lining as we noted last week, before Trump sent out his ICE troops, California's Continuing Claims were running ~400K per week. Beginning in the summer, however, these claims steadily dropped... and perhaps this week's crash in continuing claims is the chopping block coming down on illegals claiming benefits in California?

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