创始人平均年龄每年增长6个月。
The Average Founder Ages 6 Months Each Year

原始链接: https://tomtunguz.com/founder-age-median-trend/

与流行的创新叙事相反,寻求资金的创业者实际上正在*变老*。平均而言,他们每年老六个月,这一趋势可能源于风险投资的变化。 投资越来越多地集中在人工智能领域——这是一个由经验丰富的博士级创始人主导的领域。与此同时,B2B初创企业的兴起更倾向于那些已经建立多年相关专业网络的企业家。 媒体的关注往往集中在年轻、面向消费者的创业者身上,从而造成了扭曲的认知。然而,许多成功的初创企业是由在他们颠覆的行业内拥有深厚、长期经验的个人建立的。 这一趋势表明,未来的创业者年龄将显著增长,引出一个有趣的建议,即风险投资商可以考虑投资抗衰老研究。

一个 Hacker News 的讨论围绕着一篇报道,该报道称创始人的平均年龄每年增加六个月。最初的反应引发了关于标题措辞的争论,一些人认为标题具有误导性——认为创始人只是变老,而不是变得*不*老。 许多评论者开玩笑地抱怨说,创办公司似乎会加速衰老,很多人都有在几周内感觉自己衰老一年的经历。另一些人指出数学上的细微差别:是*平均*创始人衰老速度变慢,这是一个每年增加六个月年龄的假设人物。 对话还涉及了创业的资本密集度日益增加,认为年长的创始人可能由于积累的财富而具有优势。然而,一些人反驳说,最近的轻资本软件企业时代是一个例外,而我们现在正在回归历史常态。
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原文

No, founders are not adopting Bryan Johnson’s regimen to reverse aging. Quite the opposite : the average founder raising capital ages six months every year.

I suspect founder age has been increasing steadily for three reasons. First, venture capital has shifted toward AI, which grew from roughly 10% to 60% of investment in just three years. AI founders skew older. Many AI labs are started by PhDs who spent extended periods in school & often come from industry, commercializing initiatives from major labs or hyperscalers.

Second, the shift toward B2B rewards experience. B2B founders benefit from established relationships with potential team members, design partners & expertise selling to enterprises. These networks take years to build.

Third, press coverage distorts perception. Media tends to spotlight younger founders pursuing product-led growth or consumer strategies. The Cursor team, fresh from MIT, captures the zeitgeist. But there are many founders who grow up within an industry & then go out to upend it.

Perhaps venture capitalists should start funding reverse aging programs. If this trend holds, the typical founder will be a decade older in 20 years.

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