朝鲜在俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突中的秘密角色
North Korea's Covert Role In Russian-Ukrainian Conflict

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/north-koreas-covert-role-russian-ukrainian-conflict

最近的报道表明,朝鲜可能秘密运送大量弹药,以援助俄罗斯与乌克兰之间持续的冲突。 根据高分辨率卫星监视和分析收集的数据,几个月前,一百多节火车车厢装满了数千个装有不明材料或武器的板条箱,从朝鲜东海岸的罗津港运往俄罗斯远东省的普里莫尔斯科。 被装载到两艘专门包租的船上,开往乌克兰东南部边境附近的一个海港。 这些事态发展突显了许多国际观察家对朝鲜在支持俄罗斯方面的作用及其对全球安全政策未来的潜在影响日益担忧。 该研究得出的结论是,武器的涌入将严重影响乌克兰和北约军队获取抗衡俄罗斯目前拥有的不断扩大的军火库所需的关键武器供应。 虽然美国情报机构此前已经发现了这一活动,但该报告提供了大量的照片证据,以鲜明的细节证实了怀疑。 随着这些爆料的出现,人们担心对乌克兰的支持增加可能会导致西方国家对弹药的需求随之增加。 然而,这些指控的严重性凸显了迫切需要持续努力,防止持续冲突产生任何破坏稳定的影响。 因此,决策者在考虑是否增加针对基辅的军事援助计划时,必须仔细权衡政治成本以及对地区和全球稳定的潜在影响。

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原文

Authored by Radio Free Europe (US Govt. Funded) via Oilprice.com,

North Korea appears to have begun secretly shipping large amounts of munitions to Russia, according to a new report, using ships and trains to move the weaponry and bolster Moscow’s war against Ukraine.

The report, published on October 16 by the London-based Royal United Services Institute, is based on high-quality satellite imagery surveying ports and train shipments. It adds further evidence to accusations made by the United States and other Western countries that Pyongyang has been helping Russia rebuild its weapons stocks.

More than 18 months into its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia has already ramped up its military industrial infrastructure, retooling factories and supply lines to bolster production of weapons, ammunition, and other equipment for the war effort in Ukraine.

But Russian forces are believed to have struggled to keep up with the furious rate of fire of some important weaponry, such as artillery shells. This summer, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu traveled to North Korea in what Western officials said was likely a negotiation to acquire armaments from Pyongyang.

Weeks later, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un made a rare trip abroad, traveling by train to Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin and to tour Russia’s Vostochny Cosmodrome, where satellites and other Russian rocketry are launched.

According to the London institute, known as RUSI, dozens of satellite images taken in recent months appear to show two Russian-flagged cargo ships moving between Rajin, a port on North Korea’s eastern coast and an obscure port in Russia’s Primorye region known as Dunai.

According to RUSI’s account, the ships transported “hundreds of containers” that, the institute said, likely contained North Korean armaments. One of the cargo ships is alleged to have ties to the Russian Defense Ministry, and it, along with a Russian maritime leasing company, were sanctioned by the United States last year.

RUSI said the images also show dozens of shipping containers of the same color and same size arriving weeks later in Tikhoretsk, in Russia’s Krasnodar region, nearly 10,000 kilometers to the west of Primorye. An ammunition depot at Tikhoretsk has been expanded noticeably since August, according to the imagery.

“North Korea’s supplying of significant quantities of munitions to Moscow will have profound consequences for the war in Ukraine,” the report’s authors wrote.

“For the Russians, a major North Korean supply line will alleviate shortages of munitions,” they said. “Ukraine and its supporters will also have to contend with this new reality, potentially escalating their support by providing additional quantities of weapons and munitions to Ukraine's defenders.”

Last month, White House national-security adviser Jake Sullivan said that U.S. intelligence had been tracking the possibility of North Korea supplying Russia with weapons “for quite some time.”

“And the reason why…there is such an intense effort on the part of Moscow to generate this kind of support from North Korea is that we have continued to squeeze…Russia’s defense industrial base, and they are now going about looking to whatever source they can find for things like artillery ammunition,” Sullivan said in September.

Other researchers have also documented evidence pointing to increased rail traffic between North Korea and Russia following Kim’s visit to Russia.

The level of rail traffic is far greater than what [has been] observed at the facility during the past five years, even compared to pre-Covid-19 levels,” the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies said in a report released earlier this month.

“Given that Kim and Putin discussed some military exchanges and cooperation at their recent summit, the dramatic increase in rail traffic likely indicates North Korea’s supply of arms and munitions to Russia.”

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