电力价格是否会成为结构性通胀问题
Could Electricity Prices Become A Structural Inflation Problem

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/could-electricity-prices-become-structural-inflation-problem

美国各地的电价正在飙升,预计将持续上涨,影响家庭预算和更广泛的经济趋势。虽然数据中心的需求是一个因素,但涨价源于多重原因:乌克兰入侵后天然气价格飙升、风暴造成的损害增加、电网基础设施老化,以及与各州可再生能源指令相关的成本。 能源部预计到2026年电价将再上涨4%,在此之前,今年已上涨近5%。公用事业公司计划到2029年投资1.1万亿美元用于基础设施升级——这些成本最终将转嫁给消费者。电力成本的持续上涨可能会加剧持续的通货膨胀,使降低通货膨胀的努力复杂化,并阻碍消费者支出,即使整体通货膨胀降温。电力对于大多数美国人来说已经是一项重要的开支,仅次于汽油。

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原文

Via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

Most Americans are paying higher electricity prices, and the pressure is unlikely to ease anytime soon.

According to the Wall Street Journal, electricity prices have risen meaningfully across much of the country since 2022, and the drivers extend well beyond the frequently cited surge in data-center demand.

While electricity prices had historically tracked inflation, that relationship broke down after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent natural gas prices sharply higher.

Since then, utilities have faced rising fuel costs, storm damage from hurricanes and wildfires, and the need to replace aging grid infrastructure.

State-level renewable energy mandates have also driven up costs in regions where wind and solar resources are less efficient, particularly in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.

Looking ahead, the pressure is set to intensify.

The Energy Department expects average residential electricity prices to rise another 4% in 2026, following a nearly 5% increase this year. Investor-owned utilities are projected to spend roughly $1.1 trillion between 2025 and 2029 on transmission, distribution, and generation. That’s double what they spent in the prior decade, and those costs are typically passed through to customers over time.

For consumers, electricity is already the second-largest energy expense after gasoline.

For investors, persistently rising power costs risk becoming a more durable source of inflation than policymakers anticipate.

Even if headline inflation cools, higher utility bills could continue to pressure household budgets, complicate the Fed’s disinflation narrative, and weigh on consumer-driven growth.

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