气候变化担忧下降,人工智能焦虑感上升:2026年会发生什么?
Climate-Change Fears Drop, AI Anxiety Pops: What Will Happen In 2026?

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/climate-change-fears-drop-ai-anxiety-pops-what-will-happen-2026

一项最近的Ipsos调查,对30个国家超过23,600人进行调查,揭示了对2026年的全球预测,突显了广泛的担忧和谨慎的乐观情绪。有78%的人预计全球变暖将进一步加剧,69%的人预计极端天气事件会增多。然而,只有48%的人认为他们的政府将实施更严格的减排目标。 对乌克兰冲突的悲观情绪蔓延,只有29%的人预计它会在明年得到解决。对就业保障的担忧正在上升,67%的人预计人工智能将取代工作,但43%的人也认为人工智能将*创造*新的机会。近一半的人预计他们的国家会陷入衰退,尤其是在土耳其、泰国和罗马尼亚。 进一步的负面情绪表明,38%的人预计股市会大幅崩盘。最后,唐纳德·特朗普获得诺贝尔和平奖的可能性基本上被否定(21%可能,64%不可能),尽管印度表现出更高的期望(51%)。

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原文

If the last years have shown us anything, it’s that a lot can change, fast.

While many events cannot be foreseen, can others?

Ipsos asked more than 23,600 people across 30 countries about their predictions for the coming year, with a survey on topics ranging from artificial intelligence to the climate and the World Cup.

This data is based on one survey alone and although it does not focus on additional knowledge of experts and analysts, it does capture a snapshot of sentiments and standpoints in different countries and regions.

As Statista's Anna Fleck shows in the following chart, many people around the globe seem to be in agreement that global temperatures will rise in 2026. Around eight in ten respondents (78 percent) said that next year, we can expect the world to warm further still. This belief was most widespread in Indonesia (91 percent), Singapore (90 percent), South Korea (86 percent) and Malaysia (85 percent). In a similar vein, nearly seven in ten (69 percent) of respondents said they expect to see more extreme weather events in the country that they live in than last year. Meanwhile, only 48 percent of respondents felt that their government will introduce more demanding targets to reduce emissions. Respondents in Indonesia were the most optimistic about this prospect (80 percent).

Infographic: What Will Happen in 2026? | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

Views on whether the conflict currently raging in Ukraine will come to an end in 2026 were pessimistic.

Only around three in ten people (29 percent) thought it would be the case in Ukraine, although this marks a three percentage point increase on predictions from the same time one year ago.

In terms of the online world, two thirds of respondents (67 percent) said that they expect AI will replace jobs in their country in 2026, up three percentage points from last year.

At the same time, 43 percent agreed that AI will lead to many new jobs being created in their country.

Other job worries persist, with almost half of the total respondents predicting that their country will be in recession in 2026, with Turkey (68 percent), Thailand (66 percent) and Romania (63 percent) reporting the highest shares of people who held this opinion.

Nearly two in five worldwide (38 percent) think major stock markets around the world will crash.

While Trump has repeatedly asserted that he would like a Nobel Peace Prize, the vast majority thinks this is unlikely to happen. A total of 21 percent of respondents said they think this is likely, compared to 64 percent who said they thought it was not. India had the highest share of respondents who said they thought it would happen, at 51 percent. In the United States, 25 percent said the same.

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