特朗普表示希望“哈塞特留在目前职位”,沃什成为美联储主席的几率飙升;黄金下跌。
Trump Says Wants To Keep "Hassett Where He Is" Sending Warsh Fed Chair Odds Soaring; Gold Slides

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-says-wants-keep-hassett-where-he-sending-warsh-fed-chair-odds-soaring-gold-slides

特朗普总统似乎降低了凯文·哈塞特成为下一任美联储主席的机会,公开表示他更希望哈塞特留在目前职位,因为他具有出色的沟通技巧——这是典型的美联储官员所缺乏的。这一声明显著改变了博彩市场的预测。 凯文·沃什的胜算激增,成为领跑者,从34%跃升至54%,而哈塞特的胜算则暴跌至16%。克里斯·沃勒的预测可能性也随之提高。这种向沃什的转变,沃什被认为在利率方面更加鹰派,立即影响了金融市场。 美元指数上涨,黄金价格下跌,因为对未来降息的预期降低,反映出人们对沃什领导下可能采取更积极的货币政策的预期。特朗普的评论有效地重塑了美联储主席竞选,并影响了市场情绪。

相关文章

原文

In a strong hint ahead of Trump's decision later this month who the next Fed chair will be, the president appears to have hobbled the chances of one of the Kevins when he said that Kevin Hassett was "fantastic on TV today", and Trump wants to "keep him where he is" since "Fed officials don't talk much" while Hassett is "good at talking."

“I actually want to keep you where you are, if you want to know the truth,” Trump told Hassett during a White House event.

“If I move him, these Fed guys — certainly the one we have now — they don’t talk much. I would lose you. It’s a serious concern to me.”

The news promptly sent Kevin Warsh's Polymarket up to 54% from 34% previously making him the favorite, while Hassett tumbled from a 34% chance to be nominated to a 16% chance, below Chris Waller whose odds also jumped, from 9% to 18%.

And since Warsh is generally viewed more hawkish than Hassett, we have seen an instant jump in the Dollar index...

.. and a slide in gold.

...as rate-cut expectations plunge...

Loading recommendations...

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com