挪威电动汽车普及率逼近100%:接下来会怎样?
Norway EV Push Nears 100 Percent: What's Next?

原始链接: https://spectrum.ieee.org/norway-ev-policy-electric-vehicles

## 挪威电动汽车的成功与新兴挑战 挪威即将实现100%电动汽车(EV)普及的目标,2025年11月的新车注册量中,超过97%为电动汽车。 这一成功归功于早期且持续的政府激励措施,包括税收减免(增值税和注册税)、充电基础设施支持,以及过路费豁免和免费停车等优惠。 最初,技术限制(尤其是冬季性能)是一个障碍,但快速的改进解决了这些问题。政府的长期承诺刺激了市场反应,使充电基础设施在商业上可行。 然而,成功也带来了新的挑战。电动汽车现在在城市中与公共交通竞争,并且尽管转向电动汽车,但总体汽车使用量正在*增加*。挪威现在正专注于推广其他交通方式。 挪威模式证明了激励措施的有效性,但其对其他国家(特别是税收体系较弱或城市景观差异巨大的国家)的适用性有限。 关键在于,激励措施*可以*奏效,但解决方案必须根据具体的国情量身定制。

## 挪威电动汽车的成功与未来前景 一则Hacker News讨论围绕挪威近乎完全采用电动汽车(EV)的情况展开,起因是IEEE发表的一篇文章。评论员强调挪威的独特优势:丰富且廉价的水力发电,以及大量石油/天然气收入为电动汽车激励措施提供资金。 对话指出,虽然面板成本正在迅速下降——使太阳能即使在澳大利亚等地区也成为可行的能源——但在许多国家(如意大利),安装成本仍然是一个重要障碍。 除了电动汽车,讨论转向挪威的下一步行动,提出了电动空中运输、改善铁路基础设施以及利用其能源盈余建设数据中心等可能性。 许多评论员强调挪威作为富裕国家的特殊地位,富裕消费者的早期采用降低了成本并为更广泛的可及性铺平了道路,这种模式在之前的技术中也曾出现。 该帖子还指出了向电力过渡与维持石油/天然气税收之间的矛盾,这是其他国家面临的挑战。
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原文

More than 97 percent of the new cars Norwegians registered in November 2025 were electric, almost reaching the country’s goal of 100 percent. As a result, the government has begun removing some of the many carrots it used to encourage its successful EV transition. Cecilie Knibe Kroglund, state secretary in the country’s Ministry of Transport, reveals some of the challenges that come with success.

What were the important early steps to promote the EV switch?

Kroglund: Battery-electric vehicles have had exemptions from the 25 percent value-added tax and from the CO2- and weight-based registration tax that apply to combustion-engine vehicles. We used other tax incentives to encourage building charging stations on highways and in rural areas. Cities had the opportunity to exempt zero-emissions cars from toll roads. EV drivers also got reduced ferry fares, free parking, and access to bus lanes in many cities. The technology for the vehicles wasn’t that good at the start of the incentives program, but we had the taxes and incentives to make traditional passenger cars more expensive.

What were the biggest barriers, and how did policymakers overcome them?

Kroglund: Early on the technology was challenging. In summertime it was easy to fuel the EV, but in wintertime it’s double the use of energy. But the technology has improved a lot in the last five years.

The Norwegian tax exemptions on EVs were introduced before EVs came to market and were decisive in offsetting the early disadvantages of EVs compared to conventional cars, especially regarding comfort, vehicle size, and range. The rapid expansion of charging infrastructure along major corridors has also been important to overcome range anxiety.

How have private companies responded to government incentives?

Kroglund: I’m personally surprised that it went so well. This was a long-term commitment from the government, and the market has responded to that. Many Norwegian companies use EVs. The market for charging infrastructure is considered commercially viable and no longer needs financial support. However, we don’t see commercial-vehicle adoption going as fast as passenger vehicles, and we had the same goal. So we will have to review the goals, and we’ll have to review the incentives.

What unexpected new problems is Norway’s success creating?

Kroglund: The success of the passenger-vehicle policies mean EVs are in competition with public transport in the larger cities. Driving an EV remains much cheaper than driving a conventional car even without tax exemptions, and overall car use continues to rise. National, regional, and local governments must find different tools to promote walking, bicycling, and public transport because each city and region is different.

How applicable are these lessons to poorer or less well-administered countries and why?

Kroglund: We are different as countries. The geographies are different, and some countries have even bigger cities than our national population. This is not a policy for L.A., but what we see in Norway is that incentives work. However, tax incentives are only applicable in systems where effective taxation is established, which may not be the case in poorer countries. Other benefits, such as lower local emissions, only apply in places with lots of traffic.

The Norwegian experience shows that the economic incentives work, but it also shows that EVs work even in a country with cold weather.

This article appears in the February 2026 print issue as “Cecilie Knibe Kroglund.”

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