最初的失业声索赔较高的多年低点

最初的失业声索赔较高的多年低点
Initial Jobless Claims Tick Higher Off Multi-Decade Lows

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/initial-jobless-claims-tick-higher-multi-decade-lows

最初的失业声称上周在多年级的低点附近（从208K到219k），略高于213k的预期...来源：彭博社，国家数据的额外浮力非常出色（是的，这是一个非常了不起的word!!)... Last week California saw jobless claims plunge... This week California and New York saw claims soar... Continuing claims continue to oscillate around 1.9 million Americans (decoupling from initial claims stronger trend)... Source：彭博终于，我们不得不注意这个失业者声称的数据系列似乎与其他各种劳动力市场现实是脱钩的……例如会议委员会的工作 - 娱乐性/难以获取的系列...来源：资料来源：彭博社，强大的ADP，强大的失业声称，弱震动，弱纸板...明天的NFP仍然是任何人的猜测！

由于劳动力市场发出混合信号，首次申请失业救济人数再次下降 2024-08-29

首次申请失业救济人数跃升至一个月高位 2025-01-23

初请失业金人数跌至 7 个月低点，持续申请失业救济人数创 3 年来新高 2024-11-21

年底初请失业金人数跌至 8 个月低点 2025-01-02

原文

Initial jobless claims rose very marginally off near multi-decade lows last week (from 208k to 219k) and slightly higher than the 213k expected...

Source: Bloomberg

The state by state data is just remarkable in its flip-floppiness (yes that's a word!!)...

Last week California saw jobless claims plunge...

This week California and New York saw claims soar...

Continuing claims continue to oscillate around 1.9 million Americans (decoupling from initial claims stronger trend)...

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, we can't but notice this jobless claims data series seems decoupled from various other labor market realities still... such as The Conference Board's Jobs-Plentiful/Hard-to-Get series...

Source: Bloomberg

So, strong ADP, strong jobless claims, weak JOLTS, weak Conf Board... tomorrow's NFP is anyone's guess still!

最初的失业声索赔较高的多年低点 Initial Jobless Claims Tick Higher Off Multi-Decade Lows

最初的失业声索赔较高的多年低点
Initial Jobless Claims Tick Higher Off Multi-Decade Lows