(评论)
(comments)

原始链接: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38366729

Decrypt.co 的这篇文章解释说,贝莱德不会管理支持 ETF 的 BTC,而是计划充当美元支持的 Circle USD 稳定币 USDC 的主要资产管理人。 然而,这种区别是否具有法律效力还有待观察。 监管机构可能会这样认为,以避免对资产管理的性质产生混淆。 无论如何,这一举措凸显了传统华尔街公司越来越多地参与管理加密货币,反映出向主流采用的转变。 这一发展与富达数字资产最近进入市场相一致,表明传统金融实体认识到为客户提供更方便的加密货币获取渠道日益重要。 此外,此举表明了创建替代稳定币的潜在趋势,因为投资者在对美元等当前储备货币的持续担忧中寻求降低波动风险。 总体而言,贝莱德的决定表明,加密货币产品将通过传统渠道显着扩大,这也表明主流金融正在将加密货币视为全球经济中的一个强大参与者。

相关文章

原文
Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao agrees to step down, plead guilty (wsj.com)
592 points by himaraya 15 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 394 comments










After all these recent shit regarding crypto currencies in the US, you don't need a full brain to figure out that there is a huge hole in the system.

It is also amazing to see that CZ managed to walk away free of any jail time, kept most of his assets gathered by his con job.



SBF decided to testify against CZ to try to save his own ass, giving justice dept and sec something to fine CZ with.

Govt collects a big crypto fine, fine makes the big losers in FTX whole, problem solved.

CZ should have just bought FTX and closed the deal and made people whole, woulda saved himself some drama.



Pretty great example of Hacker News when the top comment is "They should have done more crime but in a different way."


Considering an idea without agreeing with it might be one of the better modern definitions of curiosity.


Considering an idea is about taking everything into account. The part where it’s illegal or morally reprehensible is essential to the discussion. Also if not communicated like here it can be understood as an opinion.


I do not assume ill-intent of the other curious people here, and I think if you do, you're not following the guidelines (take the most charitable interpretation of what someone writes).


I don't think doing less crime was ever on the table for these guys.


Free and unrestrained insight into the ruthless and the sociopath minds is half the reason I come here.


Ah, thank you for putting words to describe why my gut feeling of morbid curiousity applies to HN like it does for air crash investigations.


As long as those who are affected by some kind of loss are (reasonably) made whole, most legal systems won't give a flying f..k about anything.


Tort/civil lawsuits are about being "made whole." Criminal lawsuits are not because they represent crimes against the state/society.


> Tort/civil lawsuits are about being "made whole."

Only at the “modelling a cow as a perfectly thermoconducting sphere” level of analysis.

Actual damages and preliminary injunctions to preserve a situation remediable by damages are about that, other parts of what happens in civil cases are often not. E.g., punitive damages are, as the name suggests, punitive, not compensatory.



The state also brings civil actions that are not about damages or being made whole. See the ongoing business fraud case in NY against Trump.


That one is because Trump didn't make whole anyone across his career. Not the IRS, not his creditors, not the countless people he and his various enterprises stiffed (e.g. the tradespeople who worked on the casinos [1][2]).

There's so many people who Trump and his various enterprises left stuck with sometimes very huge bills that it's a miracle he didn't get dinged years ago. And that is why Trump is being on the receiving end of the stick at the moment... he forgot one crucial point: never make too many enemies in life because eventually they will team up to get their revenge on you.

[1] https://eu.northjersey.com/story/news/columnists/mike-kelly/...

[2] https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/0...



The big question is whether he will plead guilty and/or the judge will convict him.

In US, you can be rich and get away with a lot of crime and crookedness.

If Trump does go to prison, that will make quite the news.

Putin and Xinping will be laughing because they have such a strong hold on their countries, them going to jail is unthinkable.



Thing is, prosecutors don't want to waste their time. Someone who made whole those who lost money or other assets (or at least made a credible effort to do so) gets lower priority and lower sentencing over someone who just sharts on laws.


I believe Martin Shkrelli would disagree

I think that (sadly) the key distinction in the American justice system has to do with how easily it is to justify your prosecution to the public. If you're wildly popular, you're probably able to get away with quite a lot. If you're wildly unpopular, it's probably pretty easy to get a conviction on any number of things.



define justice...

Justice, in its broadest sense, is the concept that individuals are to be treated in a manner that is equitable and fair. A society in which justice has been achieved would be one in which individuals receive what they "deserve"

So, what do they deserve? It's up to a panel of peers to determine. Peers, mind you, that are representative of the society you live in.

So in a sense, public outcry and court of public opinion can sway personal opinions on what is just and fair and determine what people deserve. I find the entire system malleable and ripe for corruption.



What system, in your world, is not malleable and ripe for corruption? In your world democracy would be the most malleable and corrupt while autocracy would be the least given the boundaries you laid out.


In autocratic regimes justice is usually perverted from the top (comrade district secretary calls district judge to affect proceedings - in USSR it was informally known as "phone law"), in democracies you usually need to involve wider public pressure to achieve similar results. It's definitely makes democracy better, because to sway public opinion is costlier, more visible and at least partially deliberative endeavor. But legal justice is not moral justice in any political system, and there are always ways to at least nudge legal system in a way that is more convenient for some forces.


Martin Shkreli did that, and the feds still arrested him.


He annoyed politicians. Free country, huh?


If by "annoyed politicians" you mean "bait and switched AIDS patients".


He wasn't arrested for raising the price of his drugs, though. He was arrested for financial fraud, but none of his victims actually lost money. Very odd case.

https://web.archive.org/web/20170710014221/https://www.washi...



He said the price increase would not affect patients directly- just insurance (can’t verify).

But he would do livestreams where he said anyone without insurance or that had insurance that wouldn’t cover it could DM him and he would take care of it for them. One of my online friends was able to get the medication this way.



Check the Reuters investigative pieces on CZ and Binance from 2022. They had plenty to fine him with before SBF's testimony.

I actually can't believe he didn't get jail time given the severity of what was uncovered.



> Lim also acknowledged in February 2020 that some of Binance’s customers, including those from Russia, were involved in illegal activities, according to the complaint. Lim wrote in a chat message about those trades: “Like come on. They are here for crime.” Money Laundering Reporting Officer at Binance responded at the time, “we see the bad, but we close 2 eyes.”

https://archive.is/Q8uu3



Probably the information that they (Binance) will share is really valuable to US.

Could we make a connection about Binance, and now Kraken prosecution with what happened after 9/11 where US pressed countries such as Switzerland to remove bank secrets? [1]

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/24/swiss-claim-the-us-banking-c....



Or nobody should have ever bought unsecured crypto on sketchy new exchanges... That would have saved the entire loss perhaps?

Pretty much every major marketing push and normalized on social media (Including NFTs and influencer Culture) ends up being a massive scam.

It worries me that no one sees the trend and holds social companies & people involved properly accountable for this form of crowdsourced theft.



Why would these fines go to debtors of a private institution? I believe DOJ fines typically get deposited into the US Treasury.


There is a restitution process for victims of Federal crimes. One may make a case that the victims of SBF & CZ's malfeasance may be eligible for restitution. IANAL.


Correct, I don't know why this is the top comment when it's so wrong.


> SBF decided to testify against CZ to try to save his own ass, giving justice dept and sec something to fine CZ with.

Is this conjecture?



he has infinite supply of money to pay any fine, i dont really understand the fine amount, whats the porpouse of it, u either force them to destroy the whole exchange or just try to make their complete reputation go down but this looks like the govt getting some pocket money and letting them keep doing nasty things overseas and thats it?


that's what fines are for.

most people criticize fines as a mere check for the offender belonging to some moneyed elite and nothing else.

fines are not replacement for civil law. if anyone think they were wronged, that's the only way. not a magically proactive government becoming their patents.



FTX has a ~$8B hole.

It was far cheaper for CZ to pay the $4.3B fine.



Depends if buying FTX would have stabilized the price of their FTT coin. That would have filled in some of the hole. And then CZ wouldn't have had to step down


So FTX would still be in the hole, and CZ is likely in the hole.

Sounds like kicking the can down the road to me. That won't end well.

SBF commits fraud and loses $8b, CZ pleads guilty and pays $4.3B fine and loses access to US market. I don't know why so many people think the crypto space is legit and this is just a temporary setback.



Kicking the can down the road is the name of the game in ponzi schemes


Isn't it better to just go after the scammers and fraudsters as soon as possible?

Otherwise somebody else will be left "holding the bag" eventually (and it will be a larger bag).

I might be old-fashioned but these fines and charges, to be clear, are for ACTUAL wrong-doing, you know, MONEY LAUNDERING. That's greedy-bad-guy stuff. It's not arbitrary or simply a matter of "avoiding drama".



It would have failed eventually. FTX was fundamentally unstable.


Rumor is that FTX is not that awful financially right now, because of their Anthropic investment.


... I mean right now maybe, OTOH that space is as volatile as Crypto was 13ish months ago.


If I was a bag holder in FTX I'd be absolutely on my knees praying for a piece of Anthropic as a substitute.


The Anthropic investment is completely illiquid. It was liquidity issues that crashed FTX originally.

TL;DR: they might have assets but they were and are still "awful financially"



I think they're also fundamentally insolvent even with the anthropic investment


Everything fails eventually.


CZ is the one who pretty much orchestrated the FTX collapse. Chickens, home to roost, etc.


I've seen analyses showing even without CZ it was just a matter of time before the house of cards collapsed.

"It's only when the tide goes out that you see who's swimming naked". The tide was going out even without CZ's actions. And FTX was swimming naked to the bone.



What about cofounder Yi He? If she's still in place then CZ stepping down doesn't mean much. I mean they have two kids together, don't tell me he won't be involved from the sidelines.


Exactly -- and CZ was always the fall guy. Yi is the mastermind.


Can you elaborate more? I do not know anything about Yi and how she is a cofounder.


Binance intentionally downplayed her role in the company (and her relationship with CZ) for a long time. Now she's seen as the most likely successor to CZ.

Here's a recent article

https://cryptoslate.com/reclusive-binance-co-founder-yi-he-s...





Incoming: third party compliance monitor (as always, run by ex DOJ people) and a more risk averse CEO. I hope this doesn't mean they eventually stop operating in the unregulated markets like China, Vietnam, Turkey, etc. Bet365 and DraftKings do it but for gambling so it's certainly possible to run a major respected company while ignoring the laws of countries that don't have the leverage America does.


China is not unregulated.

And all countries strong enough with their own fiat do care quite a lot to not having crypto in their country



Sorry, I meant places where Binance is not licensed. This is most of the countries they operate in.


Yeah. China is weirdly regulated with no standard.

One misstep and you wish you could be prosecuted in US instead.





anybody else have issues with archive.is lately? Tried two computers multiple browsers and all I get is a never-ending security check, sometimes with a captcha to really laugh at me.


Its cloudflare dns


As in 1.1.1.1? I don't use 1.1.1.1 for my DNS provider and yet I still get the never ending validation loop.

I am on Google Fiber though, so I probably use 8.8.8.8 without explicitly meaning to. Perhaps this is a problem shared by both Cloudflare and Google's DNS proxies?



I use a Google mesh network and get the same issue, which I assume is related to it using 8.8.8.8 by default.


If you’re on iOS / Mac and have Apple private relay that would also use 1.1.1.1


Oh interesting, good to know. I don't use Apple private relay so that wouldn't be the problem for me.


I think it’s more general than this, but I have a hunch that iCloud private relay sets off the security gremlins.


To fix this in Firefox

Settings | Privacy & Security | DNS over HTTPS | Increased Protection | Choose Provider | NextDNS



Yes! Only happens on archive.is for me.


Has happened with various archive.* for me


Just put the fixed IP addresses for the various archive.?? domains in your hosts file. This completely resolved the problem for me.


Even easier: Switch your browser's DNS-over-HTTPS configuration to another DNS provider. NextDNS works OK for me.


Great suggestion. Have just done this now too.

For Windows users, YogaDNS is a great little app for managing DNS configuration. Can set up DNS rules depending on domain name etc.

I actually use PiHole and added Local DNS entries for the archive.* domains in my PiHole config to fix the issue across my local network.



can you paste the relevant /etc/hosts lines


IP addresses might vary depending on geo location or time. Here is what I get from DNS currently, that you can put in your /etc/hosts

51.38.69.52 archive.is archive.today

41.77.143.21 archive.ph archive.li archive.vn archive.fo archive.md

And if all else fails, install Tor and access their site at archiveiya74codqgiixo33q62qlrqtkgmcitqx5u2oeqnmn5bpcbiyd.onion



Same


I have a lot of trouble when I use the search on archive.is, even if I use different DNS providers.

One trick that might help: I have found if I use a bookmarked page from archive.is, I can get to that. From there I can put in the original URL in the "Saved from" bar, and hit "Search", then I can usually get to an archive of the article.



no problem for me on nextdns


CZ saw the immolation of SBF and probably decided it'd be a bad move to do anything other than whatever his lawyers told him to.


CZ is much smarter, he didn't have any number 2s that could testify against him, and had already moved to a non-extradition country years ago. SBF thought he was cleverer than everybody and testified himself straight into a 8x10 cell for the foreseeable future.


Every move SBF made after his fall seemed extremely poorly thought out.

Not a hater, just processing the dichotomy of his genius image with his ingeniously ungenius self-immolation.

Lesson: Looking like you make lots of money makes you look very smart.



PR rules the day, especially when you're VC-funded and have to maintain the charade of subject matter expertise. Although you'd think his Stanford Law professor father would have at least attempted to duct tape his son's mouth shut when it became clear he planned to testify.


Both his parents are Stanford law professors and according to Kevin O'Leary, they teach compliance law.


"Everyone is a genius in a bull market"


Yeah he played it very well.

He's essentially getting off with a slap on the wrist, 50m is nothing given his wealth. The fines against the company are also a pittance compared to Binance's annual revenue.

The moral for white collar criminals is: if you get caught, just cooperate and pay up, and live up crime another day. The cost of the fines is trivial.



Non-extradition doesn't mean the US can't request an extradition. It means each request is a one-off and there's not a process agreed on in a treaty.


I'm absolutely astonished by this. He lives in the Middle East, which does not have any extradition treaties with America. Granted, he might transit a country that has a treaty, but I'm really shocked that he would give him. What did they have over him? Maybe it was China…


Imagine you’re a guy with many billions of dollars. Would you pay a few of them in order to not be an international fugitive for the rest of your life?


He does face 18 months in prison with the sentencing in Feb.


As another person pointed out, he may have seen the catastrophe that SBF created, and decided cooperation was the best way to avoid that. Perhaps I was shocked due to Zhao's general hubris.


> He lives in the Middle East, which does not have any extradition treaties with America.

Some Middle Eastern countries have extradition treaties with the US, but, more relevantly, a number of countries have legal extradition processes not dependent on treaties, including the UAE, the country where he lives.



He lives in Dubai. What's the point of having money if you cannot escape that giant mall?


> He lives in the Middle East, which does not have any extradition treaties with America.

He lives in Dubai, within one of the US's closest allies in the region. I'd be worried.



There are so many people who do not want to show up in the US (or elsewhere) and are living in Dubai that I would not be too worried. There is a full spectrum from former businessmen to current warlords.

Dubai has a lot to lose by damaging its reputation as a safe haven for wealthy exiles. My 2c.



Dubai extradites hundreds of persons every year, including to US.

They have even more to lose by creating an image of criminal safe-haven.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-10/uae-ramps...



Binance does a lot of business in the US. Probably in exchange for paying fines etc they will be able to keep in operation. I assume CZ himself won't suffer much. The Bitmex guy pleaded guilty of not enforcing AML properly and ended up with 6 months house arrest at home.


Binance is also paying many billions in fines to the US and exiting the US completely. I also don't understand why - if they're presumably headquartered outside of US jurisdiction, what are they gaining by paying exorbitant fines?

They're also further inviting every country they've ever had a customer in to levy huge fines against Binance.



I suspect that the threat of something similar to Global Magnitsky Sanctions (cutting them off from all dollar-denominated accounts everywhere) is a pretty big stick to use in negotiations. For a financial firm like Binance, access to bank accounts that can send dollars to and from US firms is pretty important, even without any US customers at all (losing access to banking in France, Cyprus, etc. would be equally difficult for them).

The US has recently (gradually over the past 20 years or so) started to really weaponize access to dollar-denominated accounts, essentially conscripting all the banks that want to do business with American banks into service of American foreign policy goals. This started in the aftermath of September 11th, for terrorism, then spread with the Magnitsky act of 2012 to include international corruption, and has slowly spread to more and more areas. So far the US has been somewhat judicious about using the tool- they seem to be aware that if they use it too often people will eventually just build ways around it- but it is a pretty big threat to wield against a company that absolutely needs to do business with somebody's banks.



Btw - I never found a good explanation why all USD transfers need to be routed trough usd banks. Google is quite silent on the subject - is it common knowledge or too obvious?


not common knowledge I think.

all usd swift wires get routed through 2 of the major banks - think it was JP Morgan Chase & Wells Fargo. this allows them to check all of these transfers for aml/cft and other sanctions blacklists.

heard this from a guy who works closely with Tether so i'm sure he'd know well



They don't.

However when you're talking about billions, it's difficult to keep them in anything but US treasuries.



How would you envision it work otherwise?


It seems like they got a deal where they can pay a fine and continue doing business in the US.

If you were him, why would you lose ~20% of your customers when you could just pay a fine and keep going? Sure he steps down, but he still owns the company.



Just because a government doesn't have an extradition treaty doesn't mean they won't extradite. Most countries with non-extradition policies only apply them to native-born nationals and sometimes citizens in general. For some random foreigner, it depends entirely on the geopolitical situation.


Adolf Eichmann says hi.


Eichmann wasn't extradited (because Israel knew Argentina probably wouldn't agree based on previous history, they didn't even try not to tip him off), he was kidnapped by Mossad operatives and smuggled out of Argentina while drugged.


https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.32...

Looking forward to reading the Plea Agreement.



Happy to see this whole thing finally coming to an end, its a nice wrap to the dead market we've had for the past 2 years. I'm excited for 2024 in crypto!


What makes you think this is the end of anything?


The rumour about Binance indictment by DoJ has been going around for 1-2 years now. Its one of the last remaining pieces of major news that could have potentially negatively affected the industry. After two years of prosecutions, regulatory uncertainty and general poor market conditions, its only now starting to feel like there's light at the end of the tunnel.


do the recent Kraken charges change this sentiment at all?


Not really. SEC investigations are civil, not criminal. They might end up paying a fine, but there is no risk of jail time or anything similar. Also, while I like Kraken as an exchange, its market share is not significant enough for it to matter in the big picture.


> SEC investigations are civil, not criminal.

SEC investigations address both aspects, when it gets past investigation to litigation, they do civil litigation themselves and refer to DOJ for potential criminal prosecution.



Coinbase has been charged with more or less the same thing since this summer. The SEC is grasping at straws at this point.


> Its one of the last remaining pieces of major news that could have potentially negatively affected the industry

Lol. Tether imploding anyone?



That’s pretty unlikely to happen at the moment though. I’m far from a Tether fanboy, but in this interest rate environment they are likely making boatloads of money just by sitting on a nice chunk of T-bills.


Your optimism is fascinating & inspiring. Perhaps one day it would mature enough for GNU Taler and the like.


Pay no attention to those stablecoins over in the corner.

The name implies they are stable, what more could anyone want?



> Its one of the last remaining pieces of major news that could have potentially negatively affected the industry.

What, is the giant ticking timebomb of the USDT money printer not likely to 'negatively affect the industry'?



Light to final blow against crypto the horrible CO2 production and the annoying get rich apps.

Let's hope it dies sooner than later.



There are now lots of efficient cryptos and some that can run on a single wind turbine. But I am with you, hoping the energyvore ones die as fast as possible.


The efficient ones are still outright scams if not blatantly illegal. All cryptocurrencies should die. After more than a decade it's clear by now that blockchains are a useless technology and the investors are getting more and more desperate to pass the bag.


Yes, it's so nice how the traditional finance system has no CO2 emissions


The classical financial system has much less CO2 per transaction and more features.

It's the perfect finetuned and still optimized PoS system.



Tether is the last domino


I'm curious to see how BTC will fare. We've only seen the 4 year halving cycle play out during a secular bull market so far.


There were reward halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020. I thought the 2012 halving was the most uncertain, as it was the first and the market had little liquidity.

https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/b...



The current crypto market activity has nothing to do with crypto news. The macro-economic state of the world is one where everything is going up.


More specifically now you can get actual real money by putting your savings in a bank account (and most people are struggling to pay the increased cost of living), there's less incentive to throw it away in a casino.


I suggest spending some time understanding why the cost of living went up. Clearly you live in a place with a relatively stable currency (for now).


A lot of the inflation seen in the U.S. is corporate profit-taking such as when the automakers used the chip shortages to steer buyers towards the highest-end models they prioritized for production while less profitable models were back ordered.

That matters because cryptocurrencies don’t help at all with the inflation consumers are seeing, while adding more personal risk and an exchange rate to arbitrage.



That's not how inflation works.


That's _part_ of how inflation works. The current inflation cycles is numerous different issues compounded (corporate profit seeking, money printing, supply chain issues, extremely high employment rate, pay increases). I know crypto bros like to say it's only money printing, so they can point to their fake money and say "you can't print money here", but the world isn't so simplistic.


What's that got to do with it driving people away from speculative assets?


5% annualized on 4% inflation is a joke. I don't consider "high yield" savings to be any kind of strategy.


Real rates in the US are at the highest level since before the GFC, they’ve basically gone from negative to >2%.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y



If you have a mortgage, it ain’t half bad


This is how the greater fool market continues to flourish.


FTT to the moon! Oh wait.


Actually ... since the trial ended, FTT went from ~$1.2 to ~$3.5 and has stayed up. I have no idea how these people expect it to pay out. Even if FTX restarts, they will almost certainly cast off such liabilities with the approval of the bankruptcy court.


Perhaps this was the final takedown necessary to pave the way for BTC ETF approval.


Amazing that it’s impossible to tell whether you are a real crypto booster or joking at their expense.


"True crypto has never been tried"


I too enjoy the no true Scotsman fallacy


No true ScotsCoin.


Surely it's BitScoin


That branding may be rough, if ScotsCoin enthusiasts harbor deep grudges against BritCoin.


BitScone


Now I wonder, is https://scotcoinproject.com/ a joke or not?


I dunno, people always invoke it in situations that are similar, but not quite applicable.


No true "No true Scotsman fallacy"


Eh... Folks are just butthurt that they didn't get in on the original Scotsman like I did.

They poured scorn then, but I'm up to my eyeballs in bagpipes now



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman - I've been meaning to look it up for a while.


XMR and BCH have been working great for a decade and in my mind are the ONLY Cryptocurrency projects that are not outright scams or digital ponzi schemes.

It's odd how clear the picture is but how many people have been fooled by fakes. What other industry is 99% scams and only 1% legitimate?



Why are you downvoted? XMR is among the greatest cryptocurrencies. It's everything bitcoin was supposed to have been. The fact it's not in the top charts is proof of the irrationality of the market.


The problem with XMR is that it works too well, so people are worried governments will ban it (thus the low price).


Let them ban it. That's the perfect test for the technology.


Not exactly. It is just pricing in the risk of the government making the on/off ramps impossible to access.


There should not be any on-off ramps to begin with. People should just transact in XMR directly. That's what crypto was supposed to have been like.


That won't happen and would actually be much worse for Monero because it means everything becomes a giant target for thieves and scammers, even more than it already is. The reason it's failed is because the idea of cryptocurrency is fundamentally bad. Monero isn't even trying to hide it. The developers openly say that criminals should use it to commit crimes.


This does have the network effect disavantage of requiring everything to move to XMR immediately.

Also, except maybe for purely digital there will be "on-off ramps" anyway, except it will be for real goods instead of fiat currency. The government can ban you from paying the gardener or buying milk with XMR.



Or, perhaps, it's proof that the purpose of crypto in 2023[1] is not utility, it's line-goes-up.

[1] And 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, ...



Utility? It already works. I've gotten paid for services via monero.

I'd be very happy if Monero somehow turned into the stable coin of crypto. It could just hover around $150-$200 forever.



You can feed your dog dinner off a golden plate, but that doesn't mean the price of gold is driven by its utility.


The purpose of a thing is not the driver of its price. It's unfortunate that crypto's turned into speculative stocks but to say it has no purpose or utility is just wrong. It actually works.


zcash seems to be going in an interesting direction, though whether they'll actually get anywhere remains to be seen.


Why BCH and not NANO? You like to wait and pay fees?


It's nice to see level-headed crypto optimism here. It's disheartening seeing bulls who have long since stopped pretending their favorite coin has any utility beyond being a speculative asset and a get-rich-quick scheme given its poor transaction rate, or that the features they've bolted on will make it valuable, none of which make it viable as a currency.

Why would anyone bother with Bitcoin?

If you want to avoid financial regulations in transmitting value across borders or purchase black market goods and services, you're going to be caught since all/most Bitcoin is KYCd and impossible to keep private, unlike Monero.

If you want to avoid transaction fees, you're SOL since it's at $10 right now versus $0.06 for Monero.

If you want a store of value, it's poor because it's volatile, not backed, and theft is not reversible, unlike virtually any other regulated security.

If you want to make legal purchases with it, any transaction costs $10 and can take hours or days, and is not reversible if you are defrauded, unlike USD.

Bitcoin has no value proposition beyond being a speculative asset and a Ponzi scheme for early buyers.



Be mindful of potential biases. Monero is rightfully highly regarded for its privacy, but you may be overlooking certain aspects:

- Unlike Bitcoin, Monero's monetary issuance is not auditable, which could prove a major problem in case of an attack, potentially leading to inflation.

- Monero faces blockchain bloat issues due to its ring signatures. It cannot scale gracefully.

- Privacy and transaction cost concerns with Bitcoin have largely been addressed by Lightning and potentially other upcoming layer 2 solutions. A lot of work is being done here. If you are technologically inclined, you can also participate: https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/lightning-dev/20...

- KYC happens on exchanges. Buy your BTC on decentralized platforms like Bisq or RoboSats and be done with KYC.

- A private-only ledger can pose challenges when transaction notarization is necessary. Bitcoin lets you choose between a private L2 transaction or a public blockchain transaction.

That said, I love Monero and am glad it exists.



Lightning does work if you're using a large provider but it undermines the utility of BTC not requiring a middle-man. Running a lightning node with personal funds is simply not likely or safe for your average hodler.

I'm not sure you've used Bisq or RoboSats if you think they're good replacements for exchanges. Barely anyone is online at a given time.



Has there been any Bitcoin "L2" that is actually functional. Last I checked the inventor of the most popular L2 said it was a failure.


Lightning has grown beyond its two original creators and now has a healthy community behind it. Worth mentioning are Rusty Russel (iptables, netfilter, some network layers of the Linux kernel) and the fine folks at Acinq (acinq.co).

Yes, it still has some rough edges but it's now mostly usable. https://medium.com/coinmonks/lightning-network-2018-to-2023-...

Besides, about 80% of transactions within exchanges are actually off-chain, so this is nothing new.



"Usable" is a massive stretch. The only way most people will ever be able to use it is through a custodial wallet, so it's right back to bank accounts and centralized exchanges.

But the whole thing is a distraction anyway. The majority of transactions happening off-chain means that Bitcoin is an utter failure at everything it ever set out to accomplish.



all i can say that, is you better have everything in stocks, housing and gold, otherwise you're going to have one sad retirement.


There are hundreds of coins some copied from bitcoin and slightly changed like litecoin.

The press has tricked you into believing every coin aside from a few popular ones are scams. Dig deeper.



Ah, the classic 'do your own research.'

If I dig deeper, and determine that is a scam, well, I am just looking at the wrong one.

If I dig deeper, and decide that it's not, and then get burned later, I should have done more due diligence.

'Digging deeper' in a minefield is, generally speaking, not great advice.



Instead of holding forever you could sell earlier. Buying coins with the intent on it going up to make money can be done with 'good' or 'shit' coins. If you have ever purchased penny stocks it's similiar in terms of risk/reward. Buying coins with a larger capitalization reduces risk/rewards.

If you believe everything is a 'shitcoin' and you want to hold them forever then on your death bed you can look at the value and determine if it really was a shitcoin or if the media made me think everything was a shitcoin.



It’s funny how true believers in communism and true believers in crypto talk exactly the same way nowadays.

“FTX and Binance are not examples of true crypto!”

“Soviet Union and Venezuela are not examples of true communism!”



Cryptocurrencies are cryptocurrencies. Binance is an exchange, essentially a bank in disguise. They are not even in the same category.


FTX and Binance are exchanges, not cryptos. It's like confusing NYSE and NASDAQ with the stocks that they exchange.


The reason why people were investing in crypto was 'legimit' infrastructure providers like FTX and binance.


I’ve been using Bitcoin for a solid decade and I never made an FTX or a Binance account- too many red flags: leverage, derivatives, lending, etc.


I mean has Venezuela ever claimed it was communist? I always thought it was socialist. Also its oldest standing communist party technically sits in opposition to Maduro.


FWIW The Soviet Union never stated that it was communist. They were officially socialist with the constitutional goal of establishing communism. for that matter the Mensheviks predate the Bolshaviks and always opposed Lenin.


Saying that the Mensheviks predate the Bolsheviks is kind of odd- there was one political party, then they had a big fight and split in two. Menshevik literally means "minority" and Bolshevik "majority", that's how intertwined the two are.


By the time of the October Revolution, the Mensheviks were actually a majority, and were a significant faction in the Russian Provisional government. The Bolsheviks were not.

The Bolsheviks were a minority, but controlled key elements of the army. After months of civil unrest and violence, they staged an armed coup.



Khrushchev, enjoying a short-lived post-Stalin economic boom in the early 1960s, did proclaim that the Soviet Union would achieve communism by 1980:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communism_in_20_years

So for a while there was an actual date attached to the constitutional goal.

I believe the deadline was quietly buried by his stagnation-oriented successors, but I’m not sure.



They were ruled by the communist party, so they were communist by ideology.


huh. both of those quotes are true for easily quantifiable reasons?

you don't have be a believer in either to understand that objectively



It's a tautology, as no implementation of a concept will ever be equivalent to the pure concept. The real existing examples of implementations of concepts will still tell you something about the viability of the concept.


> no implementation of a concept will ever be equivalent to the pure concept.

True crypto does exist.

Bitcoin is true crypto.

When I mine Bitcoin, and I use that Bitcoin to buy something from someone else, that is true crypto.

When I sell something for Bitcoin, that is true crypto.

When I exchange fiat for Bitcoin at a centralized exchange, and I successfully withdraw it to a self-custody wallet. That is acceptably close to true crypto.

Same goes for Monero.



standing committees are necessary parts of communism that always result in permanent authoritarian control of all people and all resources. humans don't have a way around that and that necessary phase is a prerequisite to the ideological phase. there is no evidence that it is worth pursuing given that irreconcilable implementation flaw.

consumers choosing mismanaged companies are consumer discernment problems that have nothing to do with the sector they're involved in. specifically with crypto, centralized exchanges and brokerage experiences are not necessary parts of the crypto ecosystem and exist in parallel to other ways of getting fiat in and out of crypto, and other ways of getting exposure to the crypto ecosystem. many proponents of the crypto asset ecosystem have always sounded the alarm on those kinds of companies and actively track how much crypto is held by the companies or in self custody.

analogies compare dissimilar things with common attributes, what is the common attribute between observers of these two concepts?



Poe's Law and all.


Not before Tether has been taken down


yup Tether is the biggest fake money printing machine that keeps BTC afloat


I think so too however it looks like they may have printed their (counterfeited) way into solvency.

Basically: buy cheap BTCs, print shitload of tethers, sell BTCs for real USD to the tune of tens of billions and now store these real USD in short term US treasuries (they don't own chinese treasuries anymore) bringing in 5% and more.

They're claiming they now have excess money (!) to back their tether due to the fact that they collect 5% or more of interest on the short-term treasuries they have.

Put it this way: even if they printed $40bn out of their arses out of $80bn of tether, the $40bn of actual USD they'd have would still net them $2bn a year in interest. That'd still be a big hole but...

What if they printed "only" 10 bn out of thin air out of 80 bn: they'd have near 70 bn bringing in 3.5 bn yearly at the moment.

They don't give any of the interest back to USDT (tether) holders.

So if they printed "only" 10 bn out of their arses, in less than three years they'd have these 10 bn for real on interest alone.

It's still criminal (I guess) but it may not be "0% of tether are backed".

People have tried to run the maths on how much money entered the cryptocurrency world (with Coinbase giving a huge hint).

Centre (Circle+Coinbase) has really $24 bn backing their USDC coin (they publish the individual US short term treasuries bill number).

USDT (tether) is much older than USDC.

Did they cheat? Most certainly.

Did they "fake it 'till they made it", helped, by sheer luck, by interest rates going like crazy?

I think it's possible.



I think the fraudulent route to solvency is even simpler than that:

1. Make Tethers out of thin air and sell for BTC

2. BTC price goes up because crypto boom

3. Sell enough BTC for USD to back the fake Tethers you made up in step 1

4. Balance sheet now looks legit, and you even have BTC to spare to buy yachts for everyone.



Tether absolutely had the chance to become solvent in the weekend of the SVB collapse. In that time, everyone was rushing out of USDC and DAI into Tether (USDT). Liquidity pools were drained of all their USDT and smartcontracts showed all available units being borrowed at 100+% APR. Tether was trading for $1.01-$1.10 that entire weekend, with demand insatiable. They could have repeatedly issued new Tethers and sold them for more than a dollar[1], while only incurring a dollar of liabilities.

Coinmarket cap shows the USDT market cap going up by about $2 billion during that weekend, but it's not clear if they were using this strategy. (which would have profited ~1-10% of that figure).

[1] or, depending on how much risk they wanted to take, traded them for USDC and DAI! Those were trading for as little as $0.90.



The ETF will have to be approved BEFORE Tether is brought down. The powers that be need a way to control the price, an ETF is the easiest but until then they have Tether.

Why else would the US allow the largest counterfeit money printer to continue for long?



> Why else would the US allow the largest counterfeit money printer to continue for long?

Incompetence.



The US' incompetency usually doesn't extend to protecting the primacy of the dollar.


> Why else would the US allow the largest counterfeit money printer to continue for long?

Are you taking about tether or the fed?



While I can see how it helps clear the bad image of the industry, the two are not directly related. The ETF was/is going to get approved regardless.


How does it help clear the bad image? There are seemingly no large crypto orgs left that are untouched by criminal convictions.


There are no criminal charges involving Coinbase or Kraken. Litigation by SEC yes, criminal charges no. There’s a very meaningful difference there. The first type can ruin your business, the second put you behind bars too.


Not your keys, not your crypto. Never use exchanges.


There are seemingly no large tradfi bank or organization left that are untouched by criminal convictions. So then what?


Traditional banks aren't trying to prove that people should trust them. People already trust them, and even if they don't, they're already regulated enough that consumers know the government will step in to bail them out.


No large crypto orgs left? Tether has a market cap of $88bn alone.


Tether has been convicted of fraud.


If that meant anything the USDT to USD peg would collapse as it could no longer be redeemed for fiat.


Most people can't redeem USDT from Tether... Read their terms. You can only redeem USDT for USD if you bought directly from them, and even then it needs to be more than $100k. If you fulfill those two requirements, they'll let you redeem if they want to. They state in their terms that redemption is entirely at their discretion, and they can just say no if they gambled the reserves away.


It means something, and tether will collapse.


So you tell me someone has 88bn us dollar or real assets somewhere stored away safely?

Somehow I doubt that. That would mean someone invested this in a save and independent way with enough return to keep it inflation save and apparently has no other idea on how to invest that even more magical.

How is tether really pegged safely?



I think you are preaching to the choir here, maybe I misread the intent of the OP above me.


That's why the ETFs are coming from non-crypto orgs - Blackrock, Fidelity, etc.


Where do you think they get their BTC to fund the ETFs?


Why does BTC need an ETF at all, doesn’t that defeat the purpose of owning one’s own wallets? Also… exchanges defeating the purpose of decentralization…


The simplest answer is that alot of people would like to hold BTC in a tax advantaged account and an ETF wrapper is the easiest way to do this.

Others would like to buy it via retirement plans and having an ETF makes this doable.

Those that want to hold BTC incase the US dollar collapses will hodl their own BTC.

Those that want to hold BTC incase it really appreciates will hold it via an ETF in a tax advantaged account so they don't have to pay taxes on their gains, depending on the account type.



Just say exit liquidity. It's faster.


Ah, nice! Applies regardless of what the underlying asset is ~ some good ole’ tax engineering.


and those few.. who still expect to use it for payments..? =) LOL.


> Why does BTC need an ETF at all, doesn’t that defeat the purpose of owning one’s own wallets? Also… exchanges defeating the purpose of decentralization…

Many financial institutions do not care about decentralization, but they do care about investing in an asset where they do not have to worry about managing the asset (in that regard, similar to REITs). Having the asset insured against various types of malfeasance is also a requirement for investments by many institutional funds.



Many foreign-currency ETFs exist. Euros, or yen, or dollars can function as currencies even though some people also view them as investments.

Commodities are similar. People might invest in pork bellies even if they don't personally eat bacon.



Your question is absolutely appropriate, as the original vision was not to have care about dollar values and instead use BTC as money.

But now the speculators have taken over, and all that really matters is what BTC is worth in dollars.



I don't think experience shows most people should or want to own their own wallets. And transactions are much easier without owning one. If you just want BTC exposure as an investment an ETF is much better.


The purpose of decentralization was defeated a long time ago, I'm afraid.


I guess people trust Blackrock and CZ on setting BTC prices more than they trust the greenback

Also, CZ (pleads guilty to money laundering charges): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38366729



>Total US retirement assets were $36.7 trillion as of June 30, 2023, up 3.1 percent from March 31, 2023. Retirement assets accounted for 31 percent of all household financial assets in the United States at the end of June 2023.


How will the BTC ETF even work?

I'm not super savvy with money but why would anybody buy an ETF and pay their fees when the assets in the ETF don't grow or give dividends? How will they secure those assets? Cold wallet in a vault? What happens if they do their audit and the backing coins aren't there (stolen) or there's a hardware failure on the cold wallet?



Like gold ETFs, they can do BTC synthetically via futures or have a custodian take custody.

The interesting ETF will be for Ethereum because a custodian can possibly stake it and earn yield. ETH can earn within the basic protocol.



Right but gold isn't easy to steal. Bitcoin can disappear from a cosmic ray, hardware failure, remote theft, software glitch, etc.


Gold isn’t easy to steal because there are centuries worth of physical security demands that have evolved to protect it. Its relatively easy to take a chunk of metal from someone otherwise.

Nothing you listed applies to bitcoin besides remote theft. The whole point of a blockchain is be fault tolerant in the face of those real failures. Remote theft occurs from a failure to secure your private keys. That’s human error and will be resolved in the same way as gold with… custodians aka a bank.



Oh where there's a will (and a profit) there's a way. See this story about bags of nickels stored turned out to be filled with rocks.

https://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgans-nickel-bags-turned...



You can get your coins back if your cold wallet is destroyed?


If you have stored your seed securely (in a safe, preferably engraved on stainless steel), then no problem, you can re-generate your private key on a new wallet from it.

If you haven't written down your seed before generating your private key and also lost your private key, your money is lost. Thank you for this sacrifice for the common good, but you will want to educate yourself better next time.



Yes, if only one of a 2 of 3 account was lost. A person having a single seed phrase on a single cold wallet would lose coins and would probably benefit from using a service to educate them.


Gold isn't easy to steal because it's heavy, and the more you steal, the more it weighs. There's a big difference between stealing an ounce of gold and stealing five tons of gold. But there's no difference in "weight" between stealing 0.1 BTC and 10,000 BTC.

Also, securing physical assets is much easier than securing digital assets.



You don't have to put all 10,000 BTC in a single wallet.


You can laser engrave a Bitcoin wallet seed (24 words) on titanium, store it in multiple locations and never enter your seed on a networked computer to prevent remote theft. You can also use a passphrase on top of your seed, and store it separately, so that even if the seed is physically stolen, the wallet won't be recoverable without the passphrase.


And when everyone becomes super paranoid and keeps their money from participating in the economy then we will transcend.


That's for the holding account, that is, the long term savings.

For the everyday purchases, a Lightning wallet on a smartphone is enough.



I know how people claim it works yes.


For further protection, store those titanium blocks in a “portable Hole” so they exist only in the Astral plane:

https://www.dndbeyond.com/magic-items/4699-portable-hole



Your coins aren't stored on a computer but on a distributed ledger around the globe, secured with strong crypto, Merkle trees and proofs of work. Your (hopefully cold) wallet only stores your private key.

Gold is hard to transport, easy to confiscate and hard to divide, thus difficult to use as a currency. None of those apply to Bitcoin. Well, unless someone is dumb enough to leave his money on an exchange.



Sounds like digital assets are not for you. Gold and silver coin in your pocket are a time-tested approach.


Well, BTC isn't some asset that doesn't have a track record of growth. Take a look at the rate of growth in last decade. Yes if you look in specific timeframes it will look like a wreck. but looking at a bigger picture it makes sense. And it is given that it will keep growing similarly in the long term (Why?, thats a separate lengthy conversation the answer to which also answers why some of largest finance players are rushing to put out an ETF of BTC)

Coming to the security and safety part. In theory, BTC was made with a intension to be easily usable and accessible. Once you understand it, its pretty simple and straightforward (even easier than using a bank's service). No level of hardware wallet failure will compromise the funds because the funds are not in the wallet rather the record of the funds are in 100s of thousands of BTC nodes that is being run by miners and other enthusiasts. The real threat may be letting people that share OTPs to scammer handle their private key and seed phrase. Thats where custodians like coinbase comes in.

And to the point of how to make sure the fund held by ETF/Custodian is actually there or not, This can be easily verified. Tt is a public ledger and anyone with the public key can see how much funds are held in the wallet. This aspect of transparency is one of the key selling point of BTC.

I would recommend a short and interesting read - "Inventing Bitcoin".



If BTC would always increase in value than it's doomed from the start as it means people starting late have to pay much more than an early person.

This means rich late people will never migrate or buy BTC ETF ever.

It's like always buying at the increase



That’s the definition of asset appreciation. This is comparable to buying gold 100 years back vs now, no one is complaining Gold is doomed because it was dirt cheap a century ago, not did gold lose its ability to retain value because it was getting expensive. Although the rate of growth won’t be this explosive for BTC in the future as it is now.

Late adopting rich people might still get into BTC ETF for its ability to maintain its value in the long term, as simple as that and doesn’t matter at what price they buy.



Gold is getting consumed and still mined.

BTC is made 1 per 10 minute.

BTC is not gold



Exactly they aren’t. But they have some parallels in properties (fungible, less prone to inflation etc)

But gold or any other precious metals for that matter still has a flaw of having unlimited supply. Yes the supply is limited on earth but we are only couple of decades far from mining asteroids like 16 Psyche.

Flood the market with gold, it will drastically lose its value and this will indeed help its consumption like manufacturing of electronics etc but gold as an asset would be pointless.

This cannot happen in BTC, which is programmed to have finite supply.



I believe the fee = the ETF holds bitcoin securely for you instead of you having to deal with wallets.


Yes, how does the ETF hold and secure the coins is what I'm asking.


Blackrock will be using Coinbase as their custodian: https://www.coinbase.com/prime/custody

It's the institutional version of their Vault feature: https://www.coinbase.com/vault

> 98% of digital currency is stored totally offline, in geographically distributed safe deposit boxes and physical vaults.



Most likely some sort of cold wallet. With some in hot wallets for liquidity. There are many crypto custodians who do this.

Now they do have to design redundancies for the keys. eg. they should not lose access to the assets because say they made it too safe and cant find the keys anymore :p

It's funny because it happened with Prime Trust a crypto custodian. But I'm sure a company like BlackRock can and will do better.



I have no idea, but I assume that if they get hacked they are liable for that. If the ETF is run by Bob's Bitcoin ETF incorporated in the Virgin Islands then that's not worth anything because there are no other assets to cover losses. But if it's BlackRock (or some other large US money manager) then they have plenty of other assets to pay out.


They use a custodian like Coinbase or Gemini.

The ETF then takes out an insurance policy incase the custodian loses they BTC they hold on the ETF's behalf.



Coinbase would be the custodian


The big guys/gals/peoples at Fidelity and BlackRock also want a piece of the crypto action.

https://decrypt.co/97795/blackrock-handle-circle-usdc-cash-r...

'BlackRock will become "a primary asset manager of USDC cash reserves"—the fiat currency backing the Circle-issued USDC stablecoin.'



Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact



Search:
联系我们 contact @ memedata.com