高盛中国科技之旅突显一个信息:美国必须在2030年前夺回这些供应链
Goldman's China Tech Tour Underscores One Message: America Must Reclaim These Supply Chains By 2030

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/goldmans-china-tech-tour-underscores-one-message-america-must-reclaim-these-supply

高盛2025年私享科技之旅报告强调了中国在人工智能、半导体、电动垂直起降飞机(eVTOL)和手机等关键技术领域的领先地位。分析师走访了八大关键产业的19家中国公司,并着重指出美国必须紧急将这些重要供应链回迁,以在2030年前实现主导地位。这些技术共享一个深度互联的生产生态系统,其核心是先进电子制造、半导体集成和软硬件协同优化。 该报告警告称,中国对这些供应链的控制构成了国家安全风险。虽然马克·安德森等人士强调了中国主导的无人机、汽车和机器人等产业的重要性,但美国缺乏具有可比全栈生态系统的公司,埃隆·马斯克的帝国是一个显著例外。报告进一步指出,民主党针对特斯拉和埃隆·马斯克公司的行动可能是美国在2030年代占据主导地位的一个令人担忧的风险因素。


原文

Goldman is hosting its Private Tech Tour 2025 this week.

From Monday through Thursday, Goldman analysts will visit companies in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou. The tour will feature C-suite meetings and factory tours at 19 companies in eight critical industries. These industries—including AI, semiconductors, eVTOL, and photonics—are poised to define the great powers of the 2030s.

Early takeaways from China's tech ecosystem suggest that Asia holds the lead, especially regarding handsets, eVTOL, and other technologies that share similar production ecosystems. This report serves as a wake-up call for Washington elites: re-shoring these critical supply chains is essential for 2030 dominance. 

Here's a list of the 19 companies in 8 critical industries the analysts have either visited or will visit this week:

  1. Satellites: Landspace, Chinese liquid rocket and reusable rocket supplier

  2. Silicon Photonics: Sicoya, Qianmu Laser, Macrochip, Chinese CW (continuous wave) laser suppliers

  3. Robotaxi: Deeproute AI, Rhino.ai, GigaAI, Chinese autonomous driving software and chipsets suppliers

  4. eVTOL: Aeroht (Xpeng affiliate), Chinese flying vehicles

  5. AI Software: 01.AI, AutoArk AI, Chinese AI foundation model and AI agent AI hardware: MetaX, ZStack, xFusion, Chinese AI computing power and servers

  6. Semiconductors: Innogrit, Ascen Power, ZenSemi, Capcon Semi, Chinese memory IC, SiC, foundry, and advanced packaging equipment suppliers

  7. Smartphones: OPPO, Nothing, Chinese smartphone brand makers

The analyst provided the companies that clients should get exposure:

  1. Satellites: UMT, WNC, Hon Hai; Satellites deepdive report,

  2. Silicon Photonics: Landmark, VPEC; initiation report,

  3. Robotaxi: Horizon Robotics, Pony AI,

  4. eVTOL: Ehang,

  5. AI software: Kingsoft Office, Kingdee, Yonyou,

  6. AI hardware: Cambricon, FII, Quanta,

  7. Semiconductors: Montage, SICC, SMIC, ASMPT,

  8. Smartphones: Transsion.

It turns out that silicon photonics, robotaxi, eVTOL, AI software, semiconductors, and smartphones share a deeply interconnected production ecosystem centered around advanced electronics manufacturing, semiconductor integration, and software-hardware co-optimization. Right now, China controls a sizeable chunk of these supply chains that are essential for U.S. national defense. 

President Trump's trade war is about re-shoring these critical supply chains to ensure U.S. dominance in the 2030s. 

Marc Andreessen of Andreessen Horowitz recently highlighted in a podcast that three key industries—drones, cars, and robots—are set to succeed smartphones as the next major technology platforms. He said these technologies share a similar production ecosystem and warned that China dominates these supply chains. 

The big challenge for the U.S. is the lack of companies with all or most of these technologies under one umbrella—EVs, robots, AI, drones, space, and more. Chinese firms like BYD, NIO, Xpeng, and others are rapidly building this full-stack ecosystem. In the U.S., the only comparable example is Elon Musk's empire: Tesla (EVs and humanoid robots), xAI (AI development and social media via X), and SpaceX (rocket launches and satellite internet).

Even more alarming is the Democratic Party's ongoing effort to kill Tesla and Elon Musk's companies—companies that are positioned to lead the U.S. through the 2030s in the great power competition against the Chinese Communist Party. 

This raises a troubling question: Is there foreign influence at play—possibly from Beijing? After all, the Democrats' history with China has long raised red flags.

Democrats targeting the very American companies poised to lead in the 2030s sends a disturbing message that raises national security risks. 

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