加密货币在伊利诺伊州初选中的90%支出未能达到目标。
90% of crypto's Illinois primary spending failed to achieve its objective

原始链接: https://www.mollywhite.net/micro/entry/202603172318

加密货币行业的超级政治行动委员会在伊利诺伊州初选中投入了1420万美元。其中90%——1280万美元——被浪费了,因为这些资金被用于反对赢得初选的民主党候选人(参议院的Stratton,H-07的Ford),或支持他们的对手。Fairshake亲加密货币超级政治行动委员会花费了1000万美元反对参议院候选人Juliana Stratton,花费了250万美元反对H-07候选人La Shawn Ford,而他们两人都赢得了初选。这些政治行动委员会在该州的唯一胜利是资助那些已经很有可能发生的结果。他们反对Robert Peters(H-02),他之前的民调排名第三,最终获得了12%的选票。他们支持Bean(在H-08的民调中领先)和现任Budzinski(H-13)。不幸的是,伊利诺伊州的这笔早期支出仅使用了超级政治行动委员会现有资金的不到6%,所以准备迎接漫长的八个月吧。

最近的分析(mollywhite.net)表明,在伊利诺伊州初选中的大约90%的加密货币相关支出未能影响选举结果。Hacker News上的讨论表明,这并不令人惊讶,因为直接试图通过初选支出*改变*选举结果通常是无效的。 一位评论员认为,更成功的策略是向已经可能获胜的候选人捐款,以期获得未来的影响力。PBS NewsHour的一篇文章强调,加密货币行业最关心的是监管,他们正在相应地进行游说。然而,伊利诺伊州初选的结果可能反映了现有的政治趋势,而不是成功的游说努力,因为新当选的官员要到一月才会就职,并且不会影响当前的国会。最终,这种情况表明在这些特定选举中,游说普遍无效。
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原文

The cryptocurrency industry super PACs dumped $14.2 million into the Illinois primaries. 90% of that – $12.8 million – was wasted, in that it went to opposing Democratic candidates who won their primaries (Stratton in the Senate race, Ford in H-07) or supporting their opponents.

The PACs' only victories in the state were where they contributed money towards outcomes that were already highly likely. They opposed Robert Peters (H-02), who had been polling in third place and ultimately received 12% of the vote. They supported Bean (who was leading the polls in H-08) and incumbent Budzinski (H-13).

Sadly this early spending in Illinois used up less than 6% of what the super PACs have on hand, so buckle up for a looong eight months.

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