定制软件革命?我不信。
The bespoke software revolution? I'm not buying it

原始链接: https://world.hey.com/jason/the-bespoke-software-revolution-i-m-not-buying-it-4bfad9ec

## 定制软件“革命”——一种怀疑的观点 尽管围绕人工智能使每个人都能构建定制软件的炒作不断,但作者认为这场“革命”在很大程度上被夸大了。虽然定制软件*存在*——而且常常质量不高——但这并不是大多数人真正*想要*的。 这种兴奋主要来自那些*构建*软件的人,而不是那些需要解决方案的人。大多数用户只是容忍计算机,并渴望简化的结果,而不是系统维护或设计的负担。一家繁忙的会计师事务所希望消除纸质工作,而不是一个新的项目;一家物流公司希望优化路线,而不是一个定制系统来管理。 人工智能无疑会被*使用*,但期望广泛采用定制软件构建是不现实的。它吸引的是现有的“业余爱好者”,但给那些专注于核心业务的人增加了另一层责任。就像获得工具并不意味着每个人都是承包商一样,软件构建工具也不会让每个人都变成开发人员——大多数人只是希望问题得到解决,而不是过程。

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原文
A bespoke software revolution? I don't buy it.

It'll exist. It already exists. Small consultants and big consulting firms have made custom software for years. It almost always sucks. It’s bloated, confusing, and because the client pays, it’s built in all the wrong ways.

Who’s excited about bespoke software? Software makers! Of course they're excited about building bespoke software — that's what they do. X is full of them. Your feed is full of people who love making software talking about making software. Of course they’re excited about the revolution. Echo, echo, echo...

Most people don’t like computers. Nobody in tech wants to say that out loud. People tolerate computers. They use them because they have to. Given the choice, most would rather not think about them at all.

So when someone suggests that AI means everyone will build their own custom tools, ask who "everyone" is. The three-person accounting firm drowning in client paperwork? They want the paperwork gone, not a new system to maintain. The regional logistics company with 40 trucks? They want the routes optimized, not Joe spouting off about this new system he’s been messing around with. The law firm billing 70-hour weeks? They want leverage on their time, not a software project to design.

They don’t hate technology. But building and maintaining their own critical systems isn’t their wheelhouse, regardless of how much faster and easier it’s become. It's another job on top of the job.

Will these people use AI? Absolutely, for all sorts of things. Will some outliers go deep and build real custom systems? Sure,  but they're almost always people who already had some pull toward software. The curiosity was already there. They were dabblers before.

Giving everyone access to software building tools doesn't mean everyone becomes a builder. A powerful excavator doesn't turn a homeowner into a contractor. Most people just want the hole dug. They don’t want the responsibility either.

-Jason

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