普京谨慎地谈论伊朗战争后,梅德韦杰夫加入讨论。
After Putin's Guarded Iran War Comments, Medvedev Enters The Chat

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/after-putins-guarded-iran-war-comments-medvedev-enters-chat

俄罗斯官员最近发表声明,对美国可能卷入与伊朗的地面战争发出严厉警告。普京总统谨慎地将冲突描述为具有全球经济影响的不确定事件,而梅德韦杰夫则更为直接,预测美国地面入侵将成为又一个“越南”——一场代价高昂、持续十年的困境,对该地区将产生“致命后果”。 这一评估与伊朗外交部长表达的担忧相呼应,他将当前局势与越南战争期间误导性的乐观报道相提并论。尽管白宫保证目前的行动不会演变成旷日持久的冲突,但梅德韦杰夫和伊朗指出,美国历史上在不对称作战和游击战中屡屡受挫,暗示如果部署地面部队,可能会出现类似的结果。 警告之际,数千名美国海军陆战队员和空降兵正在被派往中东。

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原文

Earlier this week President Putin weighed in on America's Iran operations, and as we detailed his comments were predictably a bit guarded. He had compared the war and the Hormuz Strait closure - and subsequent impact on global energy - to the massive widescale impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. But fundamentally he highlighted the "unpredictable" nature of the conflict in terms of where it's headed, as Washington appears to be searching for an offramp on its terms.

On Friday Dmitry Medvedev weighed in, and as expected the former Russian president and current Deputy Chairman of the Security Council was much less guarded in his assessment. He warned at a moment thousands of US Marines and Airborne troop are en route to the Middle East that if the US enters a ground war in Iran it will be another "Vietnam".

American boots on the ground so far from US shores "threatens roughly the same consequences as what happened in Vietnam," Medvedev said as quotes in NBC and others.

"When Washington intervened in a foreign country, located a thousand miles away, and for ten years was unable to find a dignified way out of this conflict," he told the state-run RIA news agency.

He added that a potential ground operation in Iran would have "fatal consequences" for the broader region and for all involved in the war.

Size comparison: Vietnam overlaying Iran

The White House has been insistent that Trump's Iran "excursion" is not a quagmire. It has especially been Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth who has repeatedly denied that this conflict can be comparable to the start of 'forever wars' in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

But clearly the US doesn't have good track record when its forces must endure extended asymmetric warfare and insurgency conditions. Yet that's exactly where things will likely head if the White House introduces ground forces.

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has actually seized on this historic theme as well, earlier writing on X: "Americans haven’t forgotten how (in 1967), even as hundreds of U.S. soldiers were dying in Vietnam, and the outcome was already clear, General William Westmoreland was flown home to reassure everyone that the war was going well - that the U.S. was ‘winning’."

"The media haven’t forgotten either; those briefings full of fantasy from the frontlines became infamous as the ‘Five O’Clock Follies’," he said. The "same script, different stage" is now unfolding, Araghchi insisted, adding: "Hegseth steps up, and the message is still detached from reality."

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