直播:美联储主席鲍威尔在哈佛大学讲话
Watch Live: Fed Chair Powell Speaks At Harvard University

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/watch-live-fed-chair-powell-speaks-harvard-university

在哈佛大学最近的一次演讲中,即将卸任的美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在任期结束前夕分享了一些见解。虽然他避免了具体的货币政策声明,但他重申了对经济“稳健”增长的积极看法,并驳斥了滞胀的担忧。 鲍威尔强调,由于伊朗冲突和关税等持续存在的全球不确定性,以及疲软的劳动力市场,需要采取谨慎的态度。他强调对非住房服务中持续存在的通货膨胀感到沮丧,并暗示降息取决于降低通货膨胀的进一步进展。 关于他的未来,鲍威尔表示,如果他的继任者在五月份之前未能确认,他将担任临时主席,并打算留在董事会直到司法部调查结束。在5月15日正式离任前还有一次政策会议,市场预计美联储将全年维持利率不变。

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原文

Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who has just over a month left in his tenure as head of the world's most important central bank, speaks at 10:30am ET to the Harvard University Principles of Economics class. He is not expected to make monetary policy comments. 

As CNBC notes, this will be one of Powell’s final scheduled public appearances before his term ends in May. The discussion comes with markets anticipating the central bank will be on hold regarding interest rates through the end of the year.

In his most recent comments, Powell characterized the economy as growing at “a solid pace” and said he is not concerned with worries of stagflation, low growth with high inflation. However, he noted that policymakers are taking a cautious approach as multiple factors play out this year, including the Iran war, tariffs and a stagnant labor market; he flagged frustration over sticky non-housing services and made clear that, if inflation progress does not resume, cuts will not follow.

On rates, Powell kept optionality but did not open the door to near-term easing. He said policy was in a good place, noting it was around the high end of neutral, or only modestly restrictive. He said the labour market was being watched closely, particularly weak private payroll growth, but stopped short of suggesting employment risks now dominate the Fed’s policy balance.

On his role as Fed Chair, Powell said that if a successor had not been confirmed before his term as Chair ends in May, he would remain in place as Fed Chair "Pro Tern"; on his role as Governor beyond that, he said he has no intention of leaving the Board until the DoJ investigation is over, and he he had not yet decided whether he would stay on.

Powell’s term ends officially on May 15, and there is only one more policy meeting between now and then. However, it’s possible he will stay in the position longer if the Senate does not confirm is designated successor, former Governor Kevin Warsh.

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