两艘空载卡塔尔液化天然气船在周末通过霍尔木兹海峡后正驶向海湾。
Two Empty Qatari LNG Tankers Head Toward Gulf After Weekend Hormuz Transit Breakthrough

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/two-empty-qatari-lng-tankers-head-toward-gulf-after-weekend-hormuz-transit

彭博社分析师斯蒂芬·斯塔普钦斯基(Stephen Stapczynski)报道称,两艘空的卡塔尔液化天然气(LNG)运输船“阿尔·加塔拉”(Al Gattara)号和“弗莱哈”(Fraiha)号在毛里求斯附近徘徊后,正驶向海湾地区。此前,一艘卡塔尔运输船于周末成功通过霍尔木兹海峡,这是自2月底冲突爆发以来的首次通行,暗示多哈与德黑兰之间可能存在旨在促成LNG出口正常化的幕后谈判。 尽管这些动向表明紧张局势可能有所缓和,但由于美伊双方尚未达成正式协议,海峡交通仍处于严重中断状态。目前的焦点集中在即将在中国举行的特朗普与习近平的峰会上,恢复这一关键海上咽喉要道的通行是峰会的主要目标之一。 尽管出现了这些初步迹象,但市场信心依然低迷,Polymarket的参与者中有93%押注海峡交通在5月底前无法恢复正常。观察人士警告称,如果海峡不能很快完全重新开放,到6月份可能会引发严重的全球能源危机。

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原文

Bloomberg ship-tracking specialist Stephen Stapczynski has identified two empty Qatari LNG tankers, Al Gattara and Fraiha, transiting north toward the Gulf area after idling near Mauritius.

This movement comes just days after a Qatari LNG carrier successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting that Doha may be engaged in backchannel discussions with Tehran about a gradual normalization of LNG flows through the maritime chokepoint.

Al Gattara and Fraiha could be returning to Qatar to load LNG cargoes. If confirmed, this would mark a notable development after a Qatari LNG tanker sailed through the Hormuz chokepoint over the weekend, the first seaborne LNG export from Qatar since the war began in late February. However, no empty Qatari LNG tankers had yet returned through the critical waterway for loading operations.

As of Wednesday, Hormuz tanker flows remain highly disrupted, as the U.S. and Iran have yet to agree on a deal. President Trump landed in China earlier today, and the Trump-Xi summit will focus on unfreezing the world's most critical waterway.

Polymarket:

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes 8% · No 93%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

We have pointed out that a one-month countdown is underway. If Hormuz traffic does not resume, the real energy crisis will begin after June. 

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