人口寒冬迫使韩国在兵源萎缩之际启用战争机器人
Demographic Winter Pushes South Korea To Field War Robots As Troop Pool Shrinks

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/military/demographic-winter-pushes-south-korea-field-war-robots-troop-pool-shrinks

面对严重的人口危机和适龄兵源的减少,韩国正转向高科技防御战略。预计到2040年,韩国常备军人数将从45万人降至35万人,首尔正日益寻求用人工智能驱动的无人机和机器人来替代人类士兵。 受无人系统在乌克兰冲突中取得成功的启发,韩国正在探索与现代等公司建立合作伙伴关系,将四足机器人、机动机器人和可穿戴外骨骼等技术整合到其部队结构中。分析人士指出,机器人技术提供了一种灵活的解决方案,使军队能够利用现有的自动驾驶技术进行快速部署。 韩国并非个例;东亚和欧洲的许多其他国家也正经历着类似的“人口寒冬”,即极低的生育率和人口老龄化。随着这些国家应对征兵短缺问题,全球国防工业正进入一个新的储备周期。越来越明显的是,未来的消耗战将严重依赖智能机器,这标志着现代战场正发生向自动化转变的根本性变化。

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原文

South Korea's population decline and shrinking pool of military-age men are forcing Seoul to rethink its military force structure, with officials now exploring robots and AI-powered drones to offset future manpower shortages.

South Korea's military is taking a direct page from Ukraine's battlefield playbook by preparing to procure low-cost unmanned aerial systems and robotics for future wars, primarily through a potential partnership with Hyundai Motor - for now.

"Potential deployments include Boston Dynamics' four-legged Spot, the four-wheeled MobED mobility droid, and wearable platforms like the X-ble Shoulder exoskeleton," Bloomberg reported.

South Korea's standing force has slumped 20% over the past six years to about 450,000 troops and is projected to fall to 350,000 by 2040. The demographic winter is already hitting national defense: the population of 20-year-old men has declined by 30% between 2019 and 2025, shrinking the enlistment pool.

Samsung Securities analyst Esther Yim wrote in a note that "robotics is a field without legacy constraints," adding that "these systems can leverage electrical and electronic technologies developed for autonomous vehicles, allowing for rapid proliferation."

For many months, we have outlined how modern warfare is being reshaped by Ukrainian innovation and, more recently, the U.S.-Iran conflict. Ukraine has served as an AI warfare laboratory, accelerating the rise of low-cost drones, ground robots, and, eventually, humanoid warbots.

What's clear: future wars of attrition will mostly be fought with intelligent machines, as manpower-constrained militaries substitute AI drones and ground bots for soldiers on the battlefield.

Beyond Ukraine and South Korea, many other countries are experiencing a demographic winter, characterized by ultra-low fertility, rapid aging, and current or projected population decline.

Here are those countries by region: 

East Asia and Southeast Asia

  • South Korea

  • Japan

  • China

  • Taiwan

  • Singapore

  • Thailand

Southern and Western Europe

  • Italy

  • Spain

  • Greece

  • Portugal

  • Germany

  • Austria

Central and Eastern Europe / Balkans

  • Poland

  • Hungary

  • Romania

  • Bulgaria

  • Croatia

  • Latvia

  • Lithuania

  • Moldova

  • Albania

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

  • Serbia

This suggests that militaries in the countries listed above will be some of the first to prioritize ground bots, drones, and other battlefield robotics as their pools of military-age men continue to shrink. The next weapons stockpiling cycle has already begun as the world fractures into a more volatile and increasingly dangerous environment.

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