继安德森之后,高盛首席执行官也驳斥了AI将引发就业末日的论调
First Andreessen, Now Goldman CEO Shuts Down AI Job-Apocalypse Doomerism Narrative

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/first-andreessen-now-goldman-ceo-shuts-down-ai-job-apocalypse-doomerism

在“人工智能末日论”甚嚣尘上以及数据中心扩张面临政治阻力之际,高盛首席执行官大卫·所罗门(David Solomon)和风险投资家马克·安德森(Marc Andreessen)等知名人士纷纷出面,反驳有关“就业末日”即将到来的说法。 所罗门认为,对大规模失业的担忧被夸大了,他将人工智能定义为一个必要的生产力超级周期。他指出,人工智能的出现恰逢发达国家面临“人口寒冬”,它提供了防止经济停滞所必需的节省劳动力的技术。尽管所罗门承认人工智能将颠覆劳动力市场并使大量白领工作实现自动化,但他主张历史表明经济总能适应技术变革。他预见到的并非大规模裁员,而是向高价值岗位和新就业机会的转型,例如基础设施建设需求的激增。 总之,所罗门和安德森都将人工智能视为经济生存的重要工具。虽然所罗门承认,企业与政府需要“共同努力”来帮助工人应对这一转型,但他们的核心观点是,正如过去的技术革命一样,人工智能将促进生产力和生活水平的提高。

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原文

Amid the flood of AI doomerism, from Pope Leo XIV's Monday warning that AI and the digital transformation of the economy could unleash "new forms of slavery" and mass job losses, to Bernie Sanders and unhinged socialists calling for a halt to data centers buildouts, a move that would conveniently cede compute power to communists in Beijing, a growing and emerging chorus of dystopian futurists is now trying to frame the AI boom as an existential labor-market crisis rather than the next productivity supercycle that arrives just in time as a demographic winter unfolds.

Adding to recent comments from Netscape co-founder and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) co-founder Marc Andreessen, who argued that AI-related job-loss fears are merely hysteria and that AI is actually arriving at the moment the nation needs it most:

"We're going to have AI and robots precisely when we actually need them [with populations shrinking] to keep the economy from actually shrinking."

...none other than Goldman Sachs CEO and occasional weekend DJ in the Hamptons, David Solomon, penned a recent opinion piece in The New York Times asserting that the AI-related "job apocalypse and mass unemployment ahead" hysteria is "overblown."

"I'm the C.E.O. of Goldman Sachs. The A.I. Job Apocalypse Is Overblown," Solomon titled the NYTimes op-ed, likely aiming for maximum media exposure with such an eye-catching headline.

Solomon's framing of the headline appears to be a direct response to growing resistance not only to AI chatbots but also to data centers nationwide, a backlash wave we pointed out many months ago as alarm bells ring loudly from the tech bro community. As AI infrastructure becomes the backbone of the next economic cycle, the anti-data-center movement is quickly gaining steam and becoming a political weapon by the doomerism community.

Solomon argues that AI will not eliminate jobs at an apocalyptic scale. Instead, he says it will allow workers to become more productive, shift to higher-value tasks, and create new roles focused on managing, implementing, validating, and regulating AI systems.

However, Solomon does acknowledge that there will be labor market disruptions:

Absolutely. This transition, like other significant moments in our history, will entail new challenges, especially as A.I. separates labor from productivity in magnitudes we haven't seen before.

He pointed out that the U.S. economy has seen this story before: it has repeatedly absorbed technological shocks, from electrification to automobiles to computers, while overall employment and living standards continued to rise.

Solomon said AI will likely follow the same pattern as previous technological shifts, eliminating some jobs while expanding others, such as the explosion in construction jobs tied to the $700 billion in capex that hyperscalers are set to deploy this year alone.

Solomon cites his economists, who recently forecast that AI could automate 25% of current work hours over the next decade, with white-collar sectors such as banking, law, accounting, software, and customer service most exposed.

Solomon said that if AI destroys jobs at an unprecedented scale, there should be a "joint effort" between the corporate world and government to help workers and institutions adapt to the new labor market.

"The U.S. economy can and will adapt to major advances in technology," he emphasized.

Solomon's comments were similar to those made earlier this year by venture capital guru Andreessen, who argued that fears of an AI-driven jobs apocalypse are overstated.

In his view, automation and robots are entering the picture at exactly the moment economies need them to offset labor shortages and prevent stagnation.

Read:

Elon Musk has been among the loudest and most vocal voices warning about the demographic winter consuming not only the Western world but many other countries as well. He has framed his Optimus robot as "great for Japan" because it could help offset a shrinking workforce.

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