瑞士将举行全民公投,以将人口上限限制在 1000 万。
Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M

原始链接: https://www.admin.ch/en/sustainability-initiative

到2025年底,瑞士人口已达约910万,这主要得益于2002年《人员自由流动协议》签署后的劳务移民。“可持续发展倡议”旨在将常住人口限制在2050年前不超过1000万。 根据该倡议,如果人口超过950万,政府必须在庇护和家庭团聚方面实施限制措施,并可能需要重新谈判国际条约。如果突破1000万的门槛,该倡议要求终止与欧盟的《人员自由流动协议》。 联邦委员会警告称,此举将导致整个“双边协议一”一揽子方案失效,并危及瑞士在申根和都柏林协定中的参与,从而严重影响国家安全和庇护合作。有关联邦委员会的官方详细信息和解释可供进一步查阅。

瑞士目前正在辩论一项由保守派政党瑞士人民党(SVP)发起的争议性公投,旨在将全国人口上限控制在 1000 万。如果该倡议获得通过,政府将需在人口达到 950 万时,对寻求庇护者和家庭团聚进行限制。 支持者认为,为了应对人口过剩,这是保持生活质量、基础设施和住房水平所必需的“可持续性”措施。他们主张,不受控制的增长是一个生态和社会问题,而非种族问题。 批评者则将该提议斥为一种“陷阱”或伪装的反移民策略,旨在迫使瑞士退出与欧盟的关键双边协议。由于这些协议(包括人员自由流动)受到“断头台条款”的关联约束,反对者警告称,该公投可能会引发“瑞士脱欧”(Swexit),从而切断经济联系、学术合作和贸易渠道。 此次讨论还引发了关于“同质性”、欧洲老龄化人口对移民的经济需求,以及部落主义在政治话语中作用的更广泛辩论。虽然一些人将此次公投视为行使主权民主,但另一些人则认为这是一种短视的民粹主义举措,忽视了一个依赖外国人才的内陆国家所面临的经济现实。
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原文

The initiative in brief

At the end of 2025, approximately 9.1 million people were living in Switzerland. Since the introduction of the free movement of persons in 2002, the population has grown by around 1.7 million. This is mainly due to immigration. The number of people immigrating depends primarily on the labour market. When the economy is strong, companies struggle to find enough workers within Switzerland. Companies, as well as public institutions like hospitals and care homes, often recruit the skilled workers they need from the EU.

The ‘No to a Switzerland with 10 million! (Sustainability Initiative)’ calls for a cap on the permanent resident population: Switzerland’s population must remain below 10 million until 2050. If the permanent resident population exceeds 9.5 million before 2050, the Federal Council and Parliament will need to take measures, particularly in the areas of asylum and family reunification. The Federal Council would also need to invoke or negotiate exemptions and safeguard clauses in international agreements that contribute to population growth. If the 10-million threshold is exceeded, Switzerland would have to terminate these agreements, including the one with the EU on the free movement of persons after two years. This would also render the other agreements under Bilateral Agreements I null and void. Switzerland’s participation in the EU’s Schengen and Dublin agreements would also be called into question, thereby jeopardising close cooperation in the areas of security and asylum.

Federal Council explanations

On the German, French, Italian and Romansh pages, the official explanations of the Federal Council are available in PDF format.

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