民调显示,半数以色列人认为在伊朗和黎巴嫩的战争后,威慑力已“减弱”。
Half Of Israelis Agree Deterrence 'Weakened' Following Wars In Iran, Lebanon: Poll

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/half-israelis-agree-deterrence-weakened-following-wars-iran-lebanon-poll

《晚报》(Maariv)近期的一项民调显示,在经历了数月与伊朗、黎巴嫩及其他战线的激烈地区冲突后,以色列民众对政府安全政策的失望情绪日益加深。半数受访者认为以色列的军事威慑力已经减弱,49%的人认为以色列国防军在黎巴嫩的行动自由度有所下降。 该报道强调了以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普之间持续的摩擦,特别是在无视美国警告、执意打击伊朗的决定上。尽管内塔尼亚胡态度强硬,但舆论依然分歧严重:62%的以色列人对特朗普维护以色列利益的承诺表示不信任。 包括以色列公共广播公司(KAN)在内的更广泛调查显示,民众普遍存在一种挫败感,57%的以色列人认为自2023年10月以来,国家在任何战线上都未取得胜利。随着以色列持续的多线军事行动,不断增加的战斗伤亡(尤其是来自真主党的无人机袭击),加上特拉维夫与华盛顿之间飘忽不定的外交信号,使以色列公众对其领导层保障国家安全的能力愈发怀疑。

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原文

Via The Cradle

Israelis are raising doubts about their government and military's ability to provide security after more than three months of renewed war against Iran and Lebanon. 

According to a Maariv poll released on Friday, 50 percent of Israelis believe their country's deterrence has declined following the recent escalation with Iran and Lebanon, compared to 28 percent who say it has strengthened, while 22 percent are undecided.

via Le Monde

The US and Israel launched a renewed bombing campaign on Iran on February 28. The Islamic Republic retaliated by firing missiles and drones at Israel and US bases in Persian Gulf states until a ceasefire was reached on April 8, largely halting the fighting amid negotiations.

According to the Maariv poll, 49 percent think the Israeli army's freedom to carry out strikes in Lebanon has decreased after the latest confrontation, versus 30 percent who say it has improved and 21 percent who are unsure.

On 2 March, Hezbollah took advantage of Tel Aviv's vulnerability from the war with Iran by renewing its own missile and drone attacks on Israel. Hezbollah had refrained from retaliating to thousands of Israeli bombings of Lebanese territory that violated the previous ceasefire reached in November 2024. 

Israel responded by intensifying its airstrikes and sending ground troops to occupy additional Lebanese territory. At least 30 Israeli soldiers have since been killed and 1,302 injured, primarily by Hezbollah's newly introduced FPV drones.

On Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu decided to launch an attack on Iran despite US President Donald Trump's supposed request not to do so.

In an interview with the Financial Times (FT), Trump stated, "I call the shots. I call all the shots. He [Netanyahu] doesn't call the shots."

However, Netanyahu ordered a strike on Iran just hours after Trump's comments. Iran responded by striking targets in Israel.

According to the poll, Israelis are divided in their opinion on Netanyahu's decision to ignore Trump and order the bombing. Around 29 percent said he acted correctly, 36 percent said a stronger strike should have been carried out, and 19 percent preferred to follow the US position.

Meanwhile, 62 percent of poll respondents expressed distrust in Trump, while 21 percent said they trust him regarding Israeli interests in any agreement, and 17 percent said they did not know. A poll published by Israel’s Public Broadcaster (KAN) on 28 April found that a majority of Israelis believe the state has failed to secure victory in any war since October 2023.

According to the survey, 57 percent of respondents said no victory had been achieved, while 28 percent believed success had been reached in at least one arena, and a further 15 percent said they were unsure. 

The findings came after more than two years of Israel's reported genocide of Palestinians in Gaza, during which Tel Aviv waged multiple offensive military campaigns against Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, alongside attacks in Yemen and Syria and a campaign of destruction and displacement in the occupied West Bank. 

On Thursday, Trump warned that in the coming hours the US would hit Iran “VERY HARD TONIGHT” and take “total control” of Tehran's oil and gas industry before reversing course and claiming that a deal with Iran is expected to be “finalized” soon.

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