```绝佳良机突现```
A Golden Opportunity Just Appeared

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/precious-metals/golden-opportunity-just-appeared

尽管目前全球局势动荡,金价却大幅下跌了近 35%,原因在于土耳其等陷入困境的国家为应对飙升的燃油成本并维持流动性,纷纷抛售黄金储备。尽管新闻标题暗示这与黄金作为“避险资产”的角色相悖,但马特·巴迪亚利(Matt Badiali)认为,黄金实际上正按预期发挥作用:即作为在经济危机期间被变现的保险单。 与此同时,受金价下跌以及投资者在去年实现 240% 的涨幅后获利回吐的影响,黄金矿业板块(GDX)也面临了 35% 的跌幅。巴迪亚利认为,这次回调是一个极佳的买入机会。他强调,虽然大型矿企仍保持盈利,但真正的价值在于处于开发阶段的项目。随着现有矿山资源枯竭,这些开发型公司将成为行业必不可少的资产。随着市场预期反弹,巴迪亚利鼓励投资者利用当前低价,增加实物黄金持有量,或建立具有高潜力的矿业股头寸。

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原文

Authored by Matt Badiali via DailyReckoning.com,

The headlines are screaming that gold is falling.

And it’s true. The price dipped below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since November 2025.

This seems backward. There are multiple wars going on in the world. Fuel prices are high. Gold is supposed to be the “safe haven” asset. Why isn’t it going up?

Well, as analysts from LPL Financial, the largest broker-dealer in the U.S. said, gold is doing what it’s supposed to do. It’s acting as financial insurance.

Analysts at giant bank, Goldman Sachs estimated that if the war lasted into April, it would cause economic contractions.

In addition, countries like Egypt, Tunisia, Iraq, and Turkey have fragile economies. They can’t afford to have fuel costs spikes.

Because oil is priced in dollars, something these countries don’t have enough of, higher prices create severe economic disruptions.

Turkey faced soaring inflation due to high fuel costs. The country’s central bank sold gold to offset the impact. Turkey sold $3 billion’ worth of gold in a single week in March.

This is gold as an insurance policy. When your economy runs on oil exports that don’t get delivered or you can’t afford the soaring fuel prices, you cash in your insurance policy…gold.

That’s what’s going on in many countries today. Instead of storing value, gold is sold to create liquidity.

And so much of it got sold that it pushed the price down nearly 35%.

And as you would expect, falling gold prices are sending shock waves through the mining industry. As you can see below, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is down nearly 35% since March 2026:

This is a combination of falling gold prices and investors taking profits. From January 2025 to March 2026, GDX rose 240%. That’s a lot of profit to be cashed in. And investors are taking that money off the table.

That’s good news for gold investors because it will create buying opportunities. These gold miners still make a ton of money. So, the price to earnings ratios are even lower now than before.

But I have my eye on the development projects. And as gold prices fall, it will send those stocks down even further. These are the companies building new mines. They have no revenue and need money to build their mines. For many analysts, that presents too much risk.

But to me, that’s an opportunity. Remember, all the current mines are running out of metal. They need to replace them with new mines. That’s why the development projects are so valuable. And they don’t lose their long-term value because of a short-term dip in the gold price.

And make no mistake, this dip won’t last long. It took massive selling to push it down this far. I expect to see a huge rebound soon, as those sales trickle down.

For those of you who love gold, this is an opportunity to add physical at a great price. For those of you who like speculations, the gold stocks are ripe for the taking. Use this dip to add to your positions or build a whole new portfolio.

You don’t get these opportunities often. Recognize this one and use it to make some money.

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