```1960年至2026年内存价格历史记录```
Historical memory prices 1960-2026

原始链接: https://dam.stanford.edu/memory-prices.html

该资源由斯坦福大学 DAM 项目的 David Shim 维护,提供了一个可交互、可下载的数据集,用于追踪内存和存储的历史及当前成本。 主要特点包括: * **价格趋势:** 使用对数刻度可视化图表,追踪 DRAM、NAND 闪存和 HBM 的每千兆字节成本($/GB)。 * **细粒度分析:** 按代际细分 DRAM 和 HBM 成本(例如从 DDR3 到 DDR5,从 HBM2e 到 HBM4),并提供人工智能加速器组件(逻辑、封装和辅助成本)的模型估算。 * **方法论:** 该数据集结合了经典的 McCallum 内存价格历史记录与来自亚马逊(通过 Keepa)的实时零售数据。由于没有公开的现货市场,HBM 数据来源于行业分析师的估算。 **注意事项:** 数据反映的是以名义美元计算的最低零售价格,而非合同价或经通胀调整后的数据。由于零售价格往往反映了产品的清仓价格,因此可能与尖端产品的定价存在差异。该项目每月更新一次 DRAM/NAND 数据,每季度更新一次 HBM 数据,旨在为研究人员提供一个透明、不断演进的资源。所有数据均可供下载,并提供完整的来源说明以供引用。

关于一份1960年至2026年内存价格历史数据集的Hacker News讨论,引发了针对“每GB价格”这一指标有效性的辩论。 批评者认为该指标具有误导性,因为它忽视了通货膨胀,未能考量内存速度或技术代际差异,且依赖于早期并不常用的任意计量单位。许多参与者主张,“每有用任务成本”比“每GB价格”更有意义,并指出软件(如基于Electron的应用和臃肿的操作系统)正变得越来越耗内存,从而抵消了硬件效率的提升。 相反,另一些人则为该数据集辩护,认为“每GB美元”是评估生产成本、供需关系的客观行业标准指标。他们建议,引入主观的“实用性”因素会使数据带有偏见,降低其在客观经济分析中的价值。尽管该图表突显了近期的价格波动(通常归因于人工智能需求和供应链周期),但各方观点仍存在分歧:一些人将其视为进步停滞的迹象,而另一些人则认为这只是一个行业内的暂时性调整,而该行业历史上已使计算能力变得极其普及。
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原文

Historic and current memory and storage prices, collected in the spirit of John C. McCallum's classic memory-price dataset — interactive, with the raw data downloadable. Hover for details, click the legend to toggle series, drag or use the slider to zoom, and use the camera icon to export an image.

Price per gigabyte over time

Historical lowest $/GB on a log scale — one line per memory type: DRAM, NAND flash, and HBM.

DRAM price by generation

The DRAM line above, broken out by generation across the full history — Pre-DDR (SDRAM/core), DDR, DDR2, DDR3, DDR4, DDR5. (Generation is inferred from product descriptions, so older points are approximate.)

Accelerator cost breakdown

Modeled estimates from Epoch AI: quarterly accelerator cost across the four largest AI-accelerator designers — Nvidia, AMD, Google (TPU) and Amazon (Trainium) — stacked by component (HBM, logic die, packaging/CoWoS, auxiliary), a production-volume-weighted average.

HBM price by generation

By HBM generation (HBM2e → HBM3 → HBM3e → HBM4). HBM is sold only to accelerator makers on confidential contracts — there is no public spot market — so these are sparse industry-analyst estimates (TrendForce / SemiAnalysis), not transaction prices. HBM4 is projected (launches Q3 2026). $/TBps is cost per unit of memory bandwidth (stack price ÷ per-stack bandwidth).

Methodology note. $/GB is the cheapest listed retail price in nominal USD — not contract, average, inflation-adjusted, or a confirmed sale price. DRAM history is the McCallum dataset (extended from mid-2024 by Keepa Amazon prices); NAND is Keepa's cheapest consumer-NVMe price from 2016 (approximate anchors before); HBM figures are modeled estimates. Sources are listed below and in the downloadable dataset; please check before citing.

Methodology, sources and caveats

Sources and method

CategoryWhat we trackSource and methodReliability
DRAM $/GB cheapest retail $/GB, overall and by generation (DDR3/DDR4/DDR5) Deep history (1957–2024): the McCallum memory-price dataset (jcmit.net, via the Internet Archive). Mid-2024 onward: the cheapest new consumer DIMM each month from Keepa (Amazon retail price history), refreshed monthly. Reference + live
NAND $/GB cheapest retail SSD $/GB, 2010–present 2016 onward: the cheapest consumer NVMe SSD each month from Keepa (Amazon retail price history), refreshed monthly; SATA and enterprise/datacenter drives are excluded, and per-drive posting glitches are filtered (see caveats). 2010–2016: four approximate pre-NVMe anchor points (no McCallum-equivalent flash dataset exists). Live + approximate
HBM spend and cost breakdown quarterly HBM spend ($B) and each component's share (%) of the accelerator bill of materials (HBM, logic, packaging, auxiliary) Epoch AI (CC-BY): a modeled estimate, production-volume-weighted across the four largest accelerator designers (Nvidia, AMD, Google, Amazon); aggregate only, no per-company split. External estimate
HBM $/GB by generation HBM price per GB and per TB/s of bandwidth, by generation Industry-analyst estimates — TrendForce and SemiAnalysis (HBM has no public spot market); bandwidth from JEDEC/Rambus. HBM4 is projected. Sparse estimate

Caveats

  • $/GB is the cheapest retail price in nominal USD — not contract, average, or inflation-adjusted, and retail lags contract pricing.
  • The cheapest listing often tracks an end-of-life generation being cleared out, not the leading edge — the per-generation chart shows this.
  • These are cheapest listed prices over time (via Keepa), not confirmed sales. For the SSD data, obvious posting errors are removed — any month a drive is listed more than 60% below its own typical price (e.g. a $130 SSD shown at $4) is dropped.
  • The DRAM line splices two sources at mid-2024 (McCallum → Keepa); a small step there is expected, since Amazon's cheapest clearance can sit below McCallum's representative low.
  • HBM figures are modeled estimates (cost share and spend), not measured prices.

Updates

DRAM and NAND $/GB refresh monthly from Keepa; HBM updates quarterly (Epoch AI). The McCallum backbone and HBM estimates are fixed. The downloadable CSV lists every point with its source.

About

Compiled and maintained by David Shim, Stanford DAM project. Questions or corrections: [email protected].

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com