美联储论文:拜登政府引发的非法移民潮导致房价上涨30%,房租上涨20%
Biden's Illegal Alien Invasion Sparked 30% Home Price Growth, 20% Rent Growth: Fed Paper

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/bidens-illegal-alien-invasion-sparked-30-home-price-growth-20-rent-growth-fed-paper

达拉斯联邦储备银行近期发布的一份工作论文分析了2021年至2024年间非法移民激增带来的经济影响。研究发现,尽管劳动力的流入提高了当地就业水平,但也给住房成本带来了巨大的上行压力。 研究人员指出,这种迅速的人口增长在相对固定的供给面前形成了“住房需求冲击”。数据显示,非授权劳工流入量每增加1%,当地房价便上涨2.2%,租金上涨1.4%。报告估算,在指定时期内,受影响地区的房价增长中,有30%是由这些人口结构变化引起的,而租金增长中则有20%归因于此。 该论文认为,需求激增——加之同期新住房建设持续受限——已成为当前住房负担能力危机的核心驱动因素,导致许多美国人在获得住房时面临困难。

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原文

A new Federal Reserve working paper adds hard data to a dire economic realities that tens of millions of hardworking Americans already face: being priced out of homeownership or trapped paying ungodly high rents.

For years, the housing affordability crisis was blamed almost entirely on low interest rates, pandemic-era demand, institutional buyers, and a shortage of new construction. However, one major point was largely and conveniently ignored by mainstream media: the Biden-Harris regime's open border policies, which facilitated a massive illegal alien invasion.

The paper, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, uses new government data to measure the labor and housing market effects of the illegal alien invasion from early 2021 through the first half of 2024.

"From early 2021 to early 2024, the U.S. experienced an unprecedented boom in unauthorized immigration, followed by a rapid slowdown beginning in mid-2024," the authors of the report wrote.

Dallas Fed researchers found that illegal alien worker flows raised local employment roughly one-for-one, with a 1% increase in such workers relative to initial employment levels lifting local employment by about 0.96%. They found no significant evidence that the inflows reduced average weekly wages.

The researchers noted that the impact was more pronounced in housing markets nationwide. A 1% increase in illegal alien worker flows was associated with a 2.2% rise in local home prices and a 1.4% increase in rents, with little evidence that new housing supply expanded enough to absorb the added demand.

They described this inflow as triggering a "housing demand shock in the presence of relatively fixed short-run housing supply," accounting for 30% of home price growth and 20% of rent growth in the average local market during the boom period.

The Democratic Party's nation-killing open-border invasion imposed real economic costs on working-class citizens, the very people Democrats claim to champion.

As the scale of the post-2021 illegal alien invasion becomes clearer, so does the economic fallout.

Millions of illegals strained housing markets, adding demand at a time when supply was tight, affordability collapsed, and citizens were being priced out of the American Dream.

It is hard to ignore that the party which once branded itself as the defender of working-class Americans has increasingly aligned itself with far-left activists, globalist billionaires, and a future voter base built around mass migration. In the process, Democrats helped create an affordability crisis that harmed the very households they claim to protect.

The answer is clear and most Americans agree:

Meanwhile, socialist Democrats continue lecturing the nation that "racist capitalism" is responsible for the economic misery facing working-class Americans. Yet according to the Fed paper, the illegal alien invasion is at the center of what sparked housing affordability mess. 

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