科技公司高管:所谓“就业末日”,只是开个玩笑。
Tech CEOs: Just Kidding About That Jobpocalypse

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/tech-ceos-just-kidding-about-jobpocalypse

关于人工智能对劳动力市场影响的叙事已经发生了巨大转变。多年来,行业领袖和分析师曾预言会出现“就业末日”,吉姆·法利(Jim Farley)等首席执行官曾警告称,人工智能将取代一半的白领工作者。然而,最新的数据和评论表明,这些预测过于危言耸听。 包括萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman)、达里奥·阿莫代(Dario Amodei)和马克·扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)在内的科技巨头已转变口径,现将人工智能定位为提高生产力的工具,而非人类劳动的替代品。数据也印证了这种言论的降温:安永博智隆(EY-Parthenon)的一项调查显示,预计将因人工智能而裁员的首席执行官比例已从今年的46%降至20%。此外,研究表明,大力投资人工智能的公司实际上正在增加员工人数,而非缩减规模。 经济专家认为,这种变化在一定程度上是出于战略考量;首席执行官们意识到,将自己的产品贴上引发大规模失业的标签对业务和公共关系均不利。与此同时,高成本的现实——许多公司难以证明巨额“代币”支出的合理性——也让人工智能的热度回归理性。归根结底,整个行业已从预测“无人类工作”的末日,转向了一个人工智能旨在提升人类生产力的未来。

相关文章

原文

For three years, everyone from Goldman, to Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, to tech CEOs have been forecasting mass unemployment due to AI wiping out jobs - which would only be accelerated by the proliferation of cheap(er) Chinese models. Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley said last year that AI would replace "literally half of all white-collar workers in the U.S." 

And while that may only be a matter of time, tech CEOs have changed their tune - albeit while facing public pitchforks over data centers, the cost of electricity, and their own forecasts of workforce doom.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

"Our industry underestimated how much we’re going to be able to keep people at the center of everything," OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said earlier this year. In May he told CNBC "We’ve been roughly right on technological predictions and pretty wrong on the social and economic implications."

Last year, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned that AI could eliminate half of entry-level jobs. Now, however, Amodei has changed his tune - suggesting that AI can maximize productivity, the WSJ reports. "They can do the same thing with less resources, and that leads to things like layoffs, or they can do more with the same amount of resources. But that requires creativity," he said. 

In a June essay, the executive wrote that in giving warnings of job displacement, he wanted policymakers and the private sector to have the best chance at adapting—he wasn’t trying to be a “prophet of doom.” (He also wrote that the possibility of “enduring job loss” remains.) -WSJ

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is also singing a different tune - recently saying that if employees can boost productivity faster than the rise of automation (lol ok), "in theory there should be more jobs in the future, not less." 

Even Ford has hired several hundred engineers that they attributed to concerns over the quality of work that had been automated - with one spokesman telling the Journal: "Engineers with deep technical expertise leveraging the power of AI is a powerful combination that is driving quality gains at Ford." 

And so, as the Journal notes, "Collectively, the narrative has shifted from worker-light doomsday scenarios caused by AI to a future in which workers keep their jobs - and get a productivity boost."

The sentiment change isn’t limited to tech leaders: A survey by EY-Parthenon found that the percentage of CEOs who believe AI investments will result in significant reductions in head count fell from around 46% in January 2025 to 20% this May.

Last month a California think tank found that there has been "no evidence of a surge in AI-related layoffs" outside of one group of people; college-educated workers from industries with high exposure to AI - unemployment claims showed an increase after the 2022 launch of ChatGPT-3.5 and have remained high through May 2026.

Giant Needle Skip

Just as we were seemingly hurtling headfirst into the AI jobpocalypse, major companies began blowing their budgets on tokens - with one Anthropic enterprise client (thought to be Amazon) spending $500 million in Claude charges in a single month. 

In April, Uber's CTO went on the record saying the company had burned through its entire 2026 Claude Code budget in four months, leading to a hard cap of $1500 per month, per employee, peragentic coding tool. In mid-May, Microsoft began winding down internal Claude Code access. And then there's Amazon, which encouraged employees to spend AI tokens via a leaderboard, only to shut it down months later. 

Related

Meanwhile, UBS found last month that less than 20 cents of each dollar spent on AI tokens reaches real users.

According to a survey of corporate executives by technology and management-consulting firm Emergn, around 20% say the AI deployment reports they're getting paint a rosier picture than the facts on the ground - with some saying that their staff are obscuring failures.

"They may have noticed that the labor market is genuinely not changing (i.e., imploding) as rapidly as they expected," David Autor, a professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told the WSJ. "They may have realized it was simply bad business to say that your great new product will destroy the economy."

Another study by financial-technology company Ramp and workforce-intelligence firm Revelio Labs supports the notion that AI adoption has been positive for job growth - finding that companies making the largest AI investments grew employment by roughly 10% over otherwise similar companies that hadn't yet adopted the technology. 

TL;DR

With pitchforks out across America over data centers, AI CEOs have changed their tune - and are now saying their earlier warnings of mass unemployment were greatly exaggerated.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com