俄罗斯禁止柴油出口,预示价格将进一步上涨
Russia Bans Diesel Exports, Assuring Even Higher Prices

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/russia-bans-diesel-exports-assuring-even-higher-prices

俄罗斯已正式禁止柴油出口,以在乌克兰对其炼油厂发动一系列无人机袭击后稳定国内供应。这些袭击大幅降低了原油加工率,迫使多个地区实施燃料配给,并导致国内燃油价格飙升。 作为全球主要的柴油供应国之一(约占全球出口量的 11%),俄罗斯的这一决定预计将进一步收紧国际燃料市场。由于供应压力加大,本已处于历史高位的柴油利润率可能会进一步攀升。 此举延续了近期俄罗斯出口下降的趋势;6 月份柴油和瓦斯油的出口量已暴跌至去年同期水平的一半左右。随着俄罗斯在应对国内燃料短缺和冲突加剧带来的后果方面陷入困境,此次禁令加剧了全球现有的供应担忧,这一点已反映在美国成品油出口近期创下历史新高的情况中。

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原文

As was widely speculated in recent days, Russia banned exports of diesel in order to avoid domestic shortages after a flurry of attacks by Ukrainian drones on the nation’s refineries.

“Today we introduced ban on exports of diesel,” Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said at the government’s meeting with President Vladimir Putin.

The decision will further squeeze global fuel markets, which are already under pressure due to the supply disruption caused by the Iran war. Russia's decision means that the recent surge in the diesel margins to record highs, which have completely disconnected with oil prices, are set to rise even more. 

Last year, Russia accounted for about 11% of global supplies of diesel, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from analytics firm Vortexa.

The logical corollary is what the DOE reported earlier today, namely that US product exports - which include diesel and other refined products - surged to a record high.

Exports of the fuel were previously banned only for traders and other sellers in Russia that don’t make their own fuel.

The diesel ban comes on top of existing restrictions on most shipments of gasoline and jet fuel. Russia has been struggling to ensure domestic oil-product supplies and to contain prices at the pump after drone attacks damaged several refineries. 

Ukraine’s intensified strikes pushed Russia’s crude-processing rates to multi-year lows. Many regions have been forced to impose some degree of fuel rationing because of the disruptions. 

Even before the ban, Russia’s diesel and gasoil exports were dropping significantly. During the first three weeks of June, its exports of diesel and gasoil averaged about 490,000 barrels a day, only slightly more than half of what the nation shipped to foreign markets in 2025, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from Vortexa.

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