巨型城市正在兴起
Megacities Are Booming

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/megacities-are-booming

在过去几十年中,全球城市化进程发生了巨大转变,重心逐渐向特大城市倾斜。特大城市人口占全球城市人口的比例从1950年的2.5%上升至2020年的16.4%。相反,规模较小的城市(5万至50万人口)的受欢迎程度有所下降。这种人口迁移是由更好的经济前景和基础设施驱动的,但同时也加剧了住房短缺、过度拥挤和环境恶化等问题,包括危险的“热岛效应”。 然而,目前的预测表明这种集聚趋势即将达到转折点。虽然预计到2030年,特大城市的人口比例将达到约17%的峰值,但联合国预计该比例到2050年将趋于稳定并略有下降。在此期间,增长预计将转向中型城市(500万至1000万人口),预计到2050年,这些城市将容纳10.6%的城市人口。这一转变标志着城市发展正从极端的特大城市密度向更均衡的分布形态过渡。

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原文

The number of people living in megacities has been growing significantly for decades, rising from 2.5 percent in 1950 to 16.4 percent of city dwellers in 2020.

As Statista's Katharina Buchholz reportsaccording to UN projections, this figure will continue to rise slightly before stabilizing at around the current level by 2050. At the same time, living in smaller cities is becoming less widespread.

The share of the urban population living in places with between 50,000 and 500,000 inhabitants fell from 50.8 percent to 38.6 percent during the same period.

Infographic: Megacities Are Booming | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

This development reflects the global trend of urbanization. Economic opportunities, better infrastructure and in some cases political instability in the countryside have been driving the growth of large metropolitan areas.

However, this increasing concentration has also been exacerbating challenges that are typical for urban centers, for example housing shortages, overcrowded transport and an increased strain on the environment.

Another challenge for city planners are so-called heat islands, where urban concrete jungles act as heat reservoirs and exhibit much higher temperatures than less dense areas with more vegetation and other natural features. The prevalence of tall buildings and narrow streets can also reduce wind speeds, meaning it takes longer for accumulated heat to dissipate. This additional heat stress, combined with the higher levels of air pollution observed in many cities, compounds negative impacts on human health.

However, the UN anticipates that the growth of the largest cities will slow down in the future. While the share of city dwellers living in megacities is expected to rise to 17 percent by 2030, it is then projected to stagnate and decline slightly by 2050 to 16.3 percent. At the same time, the development of medium-sized cities – those with populations of 5 to 10 million – is expected to speed up, hosting a share of 10.6 percent of city inhabitants by 2050.

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