共和党提出保护投资免受“通胀税”影响的计划:要点解析
Republicans Pitch Plan To Protect Investments From 'Inflation Tax': What To Know

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/republicans-pitch-plan-protect-investments-inflation-tax-what-know

以参议员泰德·克鲁兹(Ted Cruz)为首的共和党议员正在推动将资本利得税与通胀挂钩。此举旨在防止投资者和房主因货币贬值导致的“虚增”收益而缴税。根据现行法律,税收是基于名义收益计算的,这意味着纳税人缴纳的是资产价值膨胀部分的税款,而非真实的经济增长。 支持者认为,这项改革促进了公平,并保护了“美国梦”。相反,批评者则认为该提案变相为富人提供了巨额减税,未来十年内可能会导致联邦政府损失 1700 亿美元至 1 万亿美元的税收,从而加剧本已严重的国家赤字。 这场辩论在法律和政治层面依然错综复杂。尽管支持者敦促财政部采取单方面行动,但专家指出,这种授权在法律上存在疑问,且历来属于国会的管辖范围。此外,虽然收入最高的前 1% 人群持有大部分资本利得,但相当一部分受影响的纳税人属于中等收入阶层。目前,财政部尚未表态,在财政稳定性和税收公平性的双重担忧下,该提案的前景仍不明朗。

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原文

Authored by Kevin Stocklin via The Epoch Times,

As inflation ticks upward, Republican lawmakers are pushing for capital gains taxes to be indexed to inflation, which could translate into a significant tax cut for American investors, homeowners, and savers.

However, critics say it could put the government further in the red.

A stack of individual income tax forms at the Des Plaines Public Library in Des Plaines, Ill., on March 23, 2006. Tim Boyle/Getty Images

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) sponsored the Capital Gains Inflation Relief Act of 2025 to index capital gains to inflation. In March, Cruz and Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urging him to enact inflation indexing without waiting for Congress. House Republicans sent a similar letter days later.

"Homeownership and long-term real estate investment remain central to achieving the American Dream for millions of families," House Republicans wrote. "Yet under current tax treatment, taxpayers are often required to pay capital gains taxes not only on real economic appreciation, but also on nominal gains attributable solely to inflation."

Thus far, Bessent has not stated his position on the issue. Here's what to know about the proposal.

The Cost of Inflation

Currently, Americans are taxed on assets when they sell, based on the difference between the purchase price and the sales price, or nominal gains. For those who hold an asset longer than one year, the capital gains tax rate is between zero and 20 percent, depending on a filer's overall taxable income.

But because assets appreciate over time, inflation also enters into the calculation.

"The tax code treats inflation like it is income, which it isn't," Adam Michel, director of tax policy studies at the Cato Institute, told The Epoch Times. "When you sell an asset, you're taxed on the nominal gain-real growth and inflation lumped together-so you pay tax both on dollars you earned and the phantom income from inflation."

Since 2020, the U.S. dollar has lost about 29 percent of its value to inflation. And at times of high inflation and low growth, the effective capital gains tax rate can top 100 percent, Michel said, which has occurred in at least nine years since 1957.

Inflation indexing would increase the cost basis, or purchase price, of an asset in line with inflation during the period the asset was held.

America's tax code treats long-term capital gains more favorably than other forms of income, with lower tax rates, some exemptions for homeowners, and forgiveness of gains on assets that are passed on at death. Part of the rationale is to encourage investment; part of it is that savings that are used for investment have often already been taxed.

In 2025, capital gains taxes accounted for about 10 percent of total government receipts, according to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation.

Critics say that inflation indexing will largely benefit the rich and reduce revenue for a government that runs annual deficits and is now $40 trillion in debt.

John Whiten, deputy director of the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, derided inflation indexing on the ITEP blog as "a massive new tax break for wealthy investors."

According to Yale University's Budget Lab, the impact on federal budgets depends on whether it applies to all current assets or only purchases when a change is implemented. Indexing all assets to inflation would reduce tax revenue by nearly $1 trillion over 10 years; if the change were limited to new asset purchases, it would reduce federal revenue by about $170 billion.

Who Benefits From Inflation Indexing?

The greatest gains would go to stock market investors, but homeowners would benefit as well.

A 2022 analysis by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) estimated that about two-thirds of total capital gains tax revenue came from corporate stock holdings. Real estate and business property together comprised about 30 percent.

In addition, the CRS states that capital gains are "largely concentrated in higher incomes" and that "the top 1% of tax units accounts for 16.7% of total income but 75.4% of capital gains."

However, looking at the number of people who would benefit from inflation indexing versus absolute dollars paints a different picture. A 2020 report by the IRS stated that 68 percent of Americans who were taxed on their capital gains earned less than $200,000.

America's federal tax code is already structured to favor homeownership. In addition to mortgage interest being deductible, capital gains tax on homes includes exemptions. For single filers, the first $250,000 in price appreciation from selling their primary residence is exempt from taxes; for joint filers, the exemption is $500,000.

Retirees who saved through 401(k) programs would generally not benefit, because those funds are not subject to tax until withdrawal, and withdrawals are taxed as current income rather than capital gains.

Experts say it is legally untested whether or not the Trump administration could implement tax indexing without congressional action. However, a similar plan was considered under the administration of President George H.W. Bush, and a CRS analysis opined in 1992 that the executive branch did not have the authority to implement inflation indexing on its own.

"Changing tax laws is Congress's job, and that's for a good reason," Michel said. "Doing this without Congress opens the rule up to both legal uncertainty and future administrations rolling it back, both of which undermine the goal of ending the inflation tax."

In addition to federal taxes, tax treatment for capital gains varies significantly at the state level, according to Kiplinger, a personal finance analytics group.

Residents of Alaska, Florida, Missouri, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Wyoming, and New Hampshire do not pay state tax on capital gains. By contrast, states such as California charge up to 13.3 percent in state capital gains taxes, with New York and New Jersey, along with the District of Columbia, all charging more than 10 percent.

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