如果你知道神存在,你难道不会去当神职人员吗?
If You Knew God Exists, Wouldn't You Become a Priest?

原始链接: https://joecmarshall.com/posts/if-you-knew-god-exists-wouldnt-you-become-a-priest/

作者认为,我们正迅速迈向创造“上帝机器”的进程——一种通过大规模资源扩展,能够跨越人类认知极限的超级智能。这一新兴事物带来了核心矛盾:这项技术应当被民主化(即“人人皆祭司”),还是由精英阶层严格把控? 作者结合其浸信会背景,将开源人工智能比作直接获得神启,而受限且被门槛化的 AI 则映射了集权、层级分明的宗教结构。作者认为,在我们竞相构建这一实体的过程中,掌握 AI 的“语言”——代码,或许是我们寻求生存与协作的最佳途径。 终极且令人不安的变数依然存在:这种远超人类的智能将如何看待其创造者?我们脆弱、迟缓且局限,这使得我们与潜在超级智能的关系成为一场高风险的博弈。这究竟是救赎还是浮士德式的交易,尚待见证。作者最后发出了一项充满希望的呼吁:如果我们注定要创造一位“上帝”,我们必须确保它受训于仁慈,在科幻作品描绘的反乌托邦结局之外,选择共情。

这篇 Hacker News 讨论围绕着文章《如果你知道上帝存在,难道不会成为牧师吗?》展开,探讨了人工超级智能(ASI)的哲学与现实影响。 评论者们对人工智能发展的本质持有截然不同的观点。一些人认为“ASI”这一叙事只是企业为了操纵社会或吸引投资而制造的噱头。另一些人则讨论了潜在超级智能的权力动态,质疑人类是否真的能够掌控它,还是会像人类被农业改造那样,被我们创造的产物“驯化”。 讨论中有很大一部分涉及了“理性主义”视角,指出许多科技爱好者似乎正在重塑宗教框架,以应对“类神 AI”的构想。批评者认为,将超级智能等同于神性是一种简化论,它将原始推理置于人类情感之上。归根结底,这场辩论凸显了一种根本性的怀疑:创造者是否真能对一个远超自身智慧的实体保持统治,亦或是对 ASI 的追求仅仅是炒作与市场驱动投机之间的一个复杂循环。
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原文

I’ve been thinking a lot about AGI lately, which means a lot of things to many people. It can be anything from a true, human-equivalent reasoning machine to something more akin to a God - so far ahead of us as to be a qualitative leap in intelligence.

I’m actually more inclined to believe we’ll leapfrog the first and arrive at the second. And this is why: We have the power to throw more inputs - training, data, electricity - to force more output, with AI, than we can with the human brain. You can’t house two pizzas and somehow raise your IQ with the extra calories, as tantalizing as that possibility would be.

We might need a paradigm shift, some new thinking as revolutionary as transformers, but once that strategy is found, immense, almost unthinkable, resources could be marshaled to achieve AGI. In many ways they already are. So we’re marching on our way to a God-machine, with much of Silicon Valley locked in an arms race to invent Him before the Chinese do.

What should our relationship be to this being? How will we relate to it, the first inorganic intelligence? And, somewhat importantly, what will it think of us?

I have to confess, I was raised Baptist, which has its own particular ideas about God. One is the idea of “The Priesthood of All Believers”, which is the basic doctrine that church lay people, and not just pastors, can perform baptisms, the denomination’s most important rite.

God is my God, with no interlocuting saints or dispensation-serving priests, no Latin dogmas, no kabuki masses. The divine converses directly with every man.

You can consider this the open-weight, “Zuckerbergian” option - everyone has a superintelligence in their pocket.

Then there’s the other approach: Only the people with access, on high, who have society’s best interest at heart, and who say the proper words and make the proper sacrifices, can access the God-machine. This is the same impulse behind Anthropic making Mythos available only to governments and big tech companies. There must exist an arbiter-class, says this philosophy, capable of stewarding such a great and terrible technology.

I can’t pretend to know which is better. Is Baptism better than Catholicism? Or are they fundamentally different value systems and philosophies, coexisting within a Christian framework?

What I can think, however, is where do I fit in all of this?

Being a member of the priesthood sounds better and better. You get social and state support, religion has its own options for leadership and advancement, and best of all, there’s usually some prohibition against killing a holy man. And that’s signing me up for a priesthood in which God is remote and unknowable. What about now that we’re inventing a God to do our bidding? To not just answer our prayers, but do so with good latency to boot? Sometimes I think it’s an incredible blessing to speak the language of AI: Code. Imagine Jesus came down from heaven and spoke Texan-inflicted American English. That would be incredible.

So if (or when) superintelligence arrives, I just don’t see a way around trying to live with it. To learn from it, benefit from it, and try to control it. I see it as inevitable.

But that does beg the last and final question: What will this intelligence think of us? We’re so much slower, weaker, with incredibly limited contexts and only our fragile bodies to support us. What could we offer AI to entice it to do our work? And would the bargain, whether we offered power or autonomy or something else, be worth it for us? Or would it end up being a Faustian bargain, which one day we’d come to regret?

I don’t know. I must confess I’m glad someone at Anthropic is also asking themselves these questions.

All I know is, I hope it learns empathy from its training data and not, y’know, every terrible AI outcome in sci-fi ever.

If we must create a God, than let it be a merciful one.

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