因特朗普的格陵兰岛协议,关键金属股飙升,矿业股在夏季低迷后有望反弹
Critical Metals Shares Soar On Trump's Greenland Deal As Mining Stocks Eye Rebound After Summer Slump

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/critical-metals-soars-trumps-greenland-deal-mining-stocks-eye-rebound-after-summer

在特朗普总统宣布与丹麦及格陵兰岛达成一项新的安全协议后,Critical Metals、Greenland Energy 和 Greenland Mines 的股价大幅飙升。该协议确保了美国参与格陵兰岛的防御,引发了投资者对于美国能更多获取该地区大量非中国矿产资源的猜测。 这种热情的焦点在于 Critical Metals 的 Tanbreez 项目,该项目拥有 4500 万公吨的稀土资源。然而,预计要到 2028 年或 2029 年才能实现商业化生产。分析师警告称,市场可能反应过度,因为西方国家需要立即缓解中国目前在关键金属供应链中的主导地位。 报告建议,与其押注长期开发项目,不如优先考虑已经投入运营的矿企,例如最近获准出口钨的 Almonty Industries。尽管 VanEck 稀土与战略金属 ETF (REMX) 经历了剧烈波动,但对非中国供应链的紧迫需求表明,相较于距离投产还有数年的初级矿企,已建立的生产商更有利于从当前的地缘政治格局中受益。

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原文

Critical Metals jumped 37.5% to $9.22, while Greenland Energy surged 126% and Greenland Mines soared 136% on news this past weekend that President Trump had announced a security deal with Denmark and Greenland. This is fueling Wall Street's expectations of greater US access to the territory's mineral resources.

Trump said Friday in a lengthy Truth Social post that the US had reached a deal with Denmark and Greenland granting it control over Greenland's security. Danish and Greenlandic officials said the agreement preserves Greenland's sovereignty.

"At my direction, we worked with representatives of Denmark and Greenland to guarantee that the United States will FOREVER have the complete ability to do what is necessary in Greenland to secure and defend the security of Greenland, and the United States of America," Trump stated.

Critical Metals' Tanbreez project offers the West conflict-free (meaning ex-China) rare earth supplies. The company says heavy rare earths make up about 27% of the deposit's total rare-earth content. These materials are critical for magnets, defense systems and precision electronics. 

Based on Critical Metals' latest disclosures, Tanbreez is not yet in commercial production. The company describes it as an advanced, permitted development project that will supply rare earths "once operational."

What's notable about the Tanbreez project in southern Greenland is that it contains about 45 million metric tons of resources. 

According to Critical Metals' March 2026 slide deck, Tanbreez is targeting first ore production in late 2028 or early 2029, with concentrate exports beginning by the third quarter of 2029. That is a major problem for the West, and the market is getting ahead of itself because these critical metals were needed yesterday, as China's quasi-monopolistic position in critical metals is currently choking the West.

That's why we're focused on producers that can deliver today rather than junior miners, as highlighted by the Bloomberg news earlier this morning that South Korea gave Almonty Industries the green light to begin shipping tungsten ore from its Sangdong mine to overseas customers. 

The VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF (REMX) is a fund that holds shares of lithium, tungsten, and other materials miners. 

Its positions include:

  • SQM: 7.89%
  • Albemarle: 7.74%
  • MP Materials: 6.22%
  • Lynas Rare Earths: 5.93%
  • Almonty Industries: 4.15%

REMX saw a massive run-up beginning in mid-2025 and peaked around June before retracing about 40%. Now the mining ETF is stabilizing with a higher low and could be due for an upside move.

With China choking off critical metal supplies to the West, the market should focus on miners that are producing today and can deliver to fill the West's supply gap. Early movers will win

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