上海库存骤降引发短缺担忧,铜价逼近历史高点
Copper Nears Record High As Shanghai Inventories Tumble, Fueling Scarcity Fears

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/copper-nears-record-high-shanghai-inventories-tumble-fueling-scarcity-fears

铜价正逼近历史高点,距离9月10日创下的14,875美元峰值仅一步之遥。得益于有报道称白宫提议的铜关税因成本顾虑而陷入停滞,市场近期波动有所缓解,推动该工业金属今年以来上涨了18%。 此次反弹的主要驱动力是供应收紧。上海金属网的最新数据显示,中国库存已跌至2023年以来的最低水平。全球矿山运营状况的恶化进一步加剧了这种稀缺性。 由于铜仍是人工智能基础设施和电网扩张的关键组成部分,市场需求持续超过供应。资深策略师杰夫·柯里(Jeff Currie)指出,市场正在“对稀缺性进行重新定价”,这凸显了实物供应受限的更广泛趋势。随着价格徘徊在历史高位附近,分析师目前正密切监测技术水平,以判断该金属是否准备好迎来决定性的突破。

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原文

Copper has almost retraced the selloff sparked earlier this month, following Reuters' report that the White House's "copper tariff plan stalls amid affordability concerns." Prices are back near record highs in London as Bloomberg reports tightening supplies in China's physical market, reinforcing scarcity concerns.

Three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange rose .7% to $14,763 a ton, putting the industrial metal within striking distance of its September 10 record of $14,875.

The driver, according to the outlet, is new Shanghai Metals Market data showing shrinking Chinese inventories. Those inventories fell to 43,900 tons, the lowest since 2023.

This year's rally follows a volatile stretch of upside price action, as uncertainty over potential US import tariffs on copper sent record inflows into US warehouses and tightened availability elsewhere.

We have highlighted how deteriorating conditions across global mining operations are adding to supply woes in the physical market for the industrial metal.

Copper, critical for AI and power grid buildouts, has climbed 18% this year and 70% since its April 2025 lows, according to Bloomberg data.

Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie has warned repeatedly that "physical economy is repricing scarcity in the real world."

With copper approaching record highs, The Market Ear's latest technical analysis report examines the price levels to watch for confirmation of a breakout (read here).

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