上一次我的家人被科技取代时
The last time my family was replaced by technology

原始链接: https://manuel.darcemont.fr/posts/the-last-time-my-family-was-replaced-by-technology/

作者的高祖父原本是法国乡村的蹄铁匠,后来转行做了机械师。担心汽车会取代马匹,他最终发现,自己的核心使命并没有改变:帮助人们出行。他只是适应了新技术。 这段家族历史能给那些担忧人工智能会取代自己工作的开发者带来安慰。早期世代或许无法理解技术变革的巨大规模,但他们依然适应了变化,并保留了真正重要的东西——从事这份工作的意义。不过,作者的祖辈取得的成功并不能证明所有人都能完成转型,但这表明,编程本身可能并不是获得满足感的真正来源。持久的动力在于创造有用的东西、解决问题以及帮助他人。 随着技术不断变化,我们应当愿意放下原有的工作方式,同时始终坚持做这份工作的初心。

一位 Hacker News 作者分享了一个家族故事:他的曾曾祖父通过转行成为汽车修理工来适应汽车时代的到来,使家人得以继续留在故乡村庄。作者强调,这篇文章只是一篇个人致敬,并不是要说明,在人工智能造成就业冲击时,每个人都可以 simply 接受再培训。 评论区出现了明显分歧。乐观者认为,软件工程一直都需要不断适应;人工智能会增强开发者,而不是取代他们的解决问题能力。此外,成本下降也可能通过“杰文斯悖论”带来更多需求。 另一些人则认为,人工智能有所不同:软件具有无形性、全球竞争、快速普及等特点,而且人工智能正在自动完成越来越多的判断和解决问题工作。 怀疑者提醒,再培训可能意味着多年学习、大幅降薪、迁居或失去原有社区。传统行业虽然可能提供工作,但也面临自动化、岗位有限和工资下降等问题,尤其是在被人工智能取代的知识工作者纷纷涌入这些行业之后。 更广泛的担忧包括:入门级岗位减少,专业能力和职业身份丧失,财富进一步集中,租金被过度攫取,劳动者力量被削弱,以及自动化创造的产出能否惠及广大民众。相较于认知工作的自动化,实体机器人通常被预计会更晚成熟。
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原文

My great-great-grandfather thought he’d be replaced by technology too.

He was a farrier in Mandres-en-Barrois, the small village in rural France where I grew up. Shoeing horses, repairing farmers’ carts. Then he saw a car drive through the next town over, or read an article about it in the paper. I can’t tell what exactly happened in his mind at that moment, but soon after, he became a mechanic, like every man in the family after him.

In the end, and maybe after a long stretch of grief at trading his horses for engine grease, he kept his purpose: helping people get around. He just changed the technology, going from horses to engines.

I think about this a lot these days, surrounded as I am by so many developers who wake up every day wondering what’s going to become of them. I must say there is some comfort in knowing that someone in my family had the same doubts before me.

Because, yes, we love to say AI is the biggest revolution since the Industrial Revolution, and that we’re going through a transformation unlike anything we’ve seen before. But that overlooks the farmers who watched the tractor roll in, or the farrier who watched the car arrive. Back then, the revolution was often right next door, hitting your neighbour. They didn’t have X to doomscroll first thing in the morning (lucky them), but they too wondered what on earth they were going to do, imagining the worst.

A century later, the torments felt by my great-great-grandfather are forgotten. The garage feels like it has always been in the family. My father loved his job like few people I know, as if it had run in the family forever. We just kept doing what we had always done: helping people get around. Just as some families in the village still farm the same fields today, mine kept the same purpose.

Not every farrier became a mechanic, and I’d never have heard of the ones who didn’t. So I won’t pretend his story proves anything. But it makes me wonder: what if what we loved about this job was never only the code?

Many of us, deep down, are driven more by the joy of making things, solving problems, and seeing people use what we built than by the act of coding itself. After all, many of us decided we wanted to be developers before learning to code, just to create video games or websites. The desire came before the code.

Be willing to let go of the how to hold on to the why.

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