创纪录的直接投标者挽救了糟糕的3年期拍卖,外国需求下滑导致自5月以来最大尾差
Record Directs Save Ugly 3Y Auction, As Slide In Foreign Demand Leads To Biggest Tail Since May

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/record-directs-save-ugly-3y-auction-slide-foreign-demand-leads-biggest-tail-may

在本周第一场票息拍卖中(因退伍军人节期间现金债券休市交易,我们采用加速时间表),财政部以 mediocre 的方式售出580亿美元3年期债券。4.627%的高收益率低于上月的4.932%(本十年第二高),但与10月拍卖的stop through不同,今天的拍卖较发行前收益率4.622%高0.5个基点,是5月以来最大尾差。投标倍数表现糟糕,从上月的2.616下滑至2.528,为2025年8月以来最低。内部数据同样糟糕:间接投标从57.6%下滑至55.5%,也是2025年8月以来最低。而直接投标创纪录地达到35.04%......交易商仅获得9.5%,为历史最低之一。总体而言,这是一场明显低于标准的拍卖,投标倍数和外国需求的下滑表明,与近期几个月相比,短端债券的需求已明显更具挑战性。

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原文

In the week's first coupon auciton (we have an accelerated schedule due to Veteran's Day when cash bonds are shut for trading), the Treasury sold $58BN in 3 Year paper in what was a mediocre sale.

The high yield of 4.627% was below last month's 4.932% (the second highest this decade), but unlike the October auction which stopped through, today's sale tailed the When Issued 4.622% by 0.5bps, the biggest tail since May. 

The bid to cover was ugly, sliding to 2.528 from last month's 2.616 and the lowest since August 2025. 

The internals were just as ugly: Indirects slumped to 55.5% from 57.6%, also the lowest since August 2025. And with Directs taking a record 35.04%...

... Dealers were left with just 9.5%, one of the lowest on record.

Overall, this was a clearly subpar auction, where the slide in bid to cover and foreign demand, suggested that demand for short-end paper has gotten notably more challenging than in recent months.

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