井喷式2年拍卖见证外国买家创纪录,产量下滑
Blowout 2Y Auction Sees Record Foreign Buyers, Yields Slide

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/blowout-2y-auction-sees-record-foreign-buyers-yields-slide

下周,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)预计将在会议期间维持当前利率不变。 相比之下,本周的债券拍卖显示出对价值 690 亿美元的两年期国债的巨大需求。 这些债券的收益率大幅下降,达到1月份以来的最低水平,为4.434%。 这种强劲的需求表明,投资者,尤其是外国官员,在联邦公开市场委员会下周做出利率决定之前正在囤积短期债券。 美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔是否会宣布降息仍不确定。 投标覆盖率(表示接受投标占已发行证券总数的比例)创下2.814的历史新高。 此外,间接竞标者购买了拍卖债券的76.6%,这是无与伦比的,而直接竞标者只获得了14.4%。 结果,交易商最终售出的债券不到 9%,再创历史新低。 成功拍卖后,所有期限的收益率均出现下跌,其中包括跌至盘中低点的十年期国债。 从本质上讲,由于对即将召开的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议的预期,短期债券似乎出现了大量投资,这可能表明市场预计鲍威尔主席可能会调整利率。

相关文章

原文

Ahead of next week's FOMC meeting, when consensus expects no surprises from Powell ahead of a September rate cut, the same can not be said for today's first of the week coupon auction, when demand for $69BN in 2Y notes (with 5Y and 7Y auctions on deck) was off the charts.

Starting at the top, the high yield printed at 4.434%, down 27.2bps from 4.706% last month, the lowest since January, and stopped through the 4.457% When Issued by a whopping 2.3bps, the second highest stop through on record (only March 2023 was higher)!

The Bid to Cover was 2.814, above last month's 2.751 and the highest since Aug 23 (and obviously above the six-auction average of 2.58).

However, the internals were truly spectacular, with Indirects taking down an unprecedented 76.6%, up from 65.6% in June and the highest on record!

And with Directs awarded 14.4%, the lowest since Jan 22, Dealers were left holding just 9.0% of the auction, the lowest on record.

Bottom line: the market, and especially foreign official entities, are piling into the short end ahead of next week's FOMC decision in record amount, almost as if someone knows that contrary to expectations for no rate cut, Jerome Powell may actually surprise everyone next week. There were no surprises, however, in terms of the market reaction: yields tumbled after the stellar auction, with 10Y yields also tumbling to session lows.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com