由于直接竞标者跌至 2020 年 3 月以来的最低水平,7 年期拍卖结果低于标准
Subpar 7Y Auction Tails As Direct Bidders Tumble To Lowest Since March 2020

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/subpar-7y-auction-tails-direct-bidders-tumble-lowest-march-2020

美国财政部最近拍卖了价值 440 亿美元的 7 年期债券。 尽管出售的债券比计划少,但拍卖成功,达到了最低价格目标,但利率(收益率)低于平时。 中标者同意以 3.770% 的利率购买这些债券。 这是自2023年4月以来七年期债券的最低利率。然而,拍卖因尾随而没有达到预期(拍卖后价格下跌),导致利率较投资者时略有上升 预期购买这些债券。 此外,与之前的拍卖相比,收到的出价数量有所下降,表明投资者需求减少。 从积极的一面来看,机构买家(间接买家)以 75.1% 的价格购买了大部分债券,高于前几个月。 然而,个人和散户投资者(直接)购买的债券明显减少,仅占总购买量的11.2%。 总之,拍卖结果表明,尽管当前GDP等其他指标呈现经济增长,但从投标覆盖率下降和直接参与率较低可以看出,对长期政府债务的需求有所下降。 报告和失业救济申请。 因此,债券价格保持不变,10 年期债券的交易利率继续为 3.87%。

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原文

In the week's final coupon auction, moments ago the US Treasury sold $44 billion in 7Y paper in what was at best a subpar auction.

Stopping at a high yield of 3.770%, this was the lowest yield on the tenor since April 2023, and was a whopping 39bps tighter than last month's 7Y auction. More importantly, the auction tailed the When Issued 3.761% by 0.9bps, the first tail since May.

The bid to cover also dropped from the July auction, dropping to 2.50% from 2.637% last month and below the 2.55% six-auction average.

The internals were more impressive, with Indirects taking down 75.1%, above last month's 74.4%, and also above the recent average of 69.22%. But while Indirects rose, the Direct takedown tumbled to just 11.2% from 16.8% last month, and the lowest since March 2020. That means that Dealers were left with 13.7%, up from 8.9% last month and in line with the recent average of 13.4%.

Overall, this was a subpar auction, and the weakest of this week's coupon trio. And yet, with yields already snapping higher after today's stronger than expected GDP and initial claims data, there was little movement in the secondary market, with the 10Y barely budging on news of the auction's pricing, with the benchmark paper trading at 3.87% since this morning.

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