高频指标清晰地反映了中国复苏乏力 
High-Frequency Indicators Provide Clear Snapshot Of China's Dismal Recovery 

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/high-frequency-indicators-provide-clear-snapshot-chinas-dismal-recovery

由于消费者支出疲软和持续的房地产危机,中国经济复苏在夏季陷入停滞。 包括消费和流动性、生产和投资、市场趋势和政府政策在内的高频经济数据表明中国的状况正在恶化。 具体而言,房地产行业仍然不稳定,导致消费、就业和住房之间的循环恶化。 事实证明,制造业和出口增长战略是不够的。 此外,在即将到来的美国大选之前,政策制定者可能还缺乏明确性。 投资者可以监控这些指标,以深入了解全球经济周期。 目前中美经济都在下行,加剧了人们对全球经济放缓的担忧。

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原文

A deepening property crisis and sluggish consumer spending derailed China's economic recovery by late summer. Last week, Bloomberg Market Live reporters noted that soft corporate earnings signaled the world's second-largest economy is "nowhere close to bottoming out." 

Goldman analysts led by Yuting Yang and Lisheng Wang recently published a client note highlighting that high-frequency economic indicators, including consumption and mobility; production and investment; other macro activity, and markets and policy, reveal continued souring conditions in China. 

The big takeaway from the high-frequency economic indicators is that the property sector has yet to stabilize to end the vicious spiral of consumption, employment, and housing. Even more apparent is that relying on manufacturing and exports to boost growth is not working. Also, Beijing might not have a clear policy roadmap until after the US elections in early November. 

1) Consumption and mobility

2) Production and investment

3) Other macro activity

4) Markets and policy

Here are the latest policy announcements since June...

An uninspiring economic recovery in China has led to a tumble in the country's main equity index, the CSI 300 Index... The most important trend line of the last two decades is failing as prices return to 2019 lows. 

Tracking high-frequency economic indicators, particularly from China, gives investors a clearer view of global economic cycles. With momentum in both China and the US heading in the wrong direction, the case for a slowing global economy mounts. 

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