2100年世界上最大的国家
The Biggest Countries In The World In 2100

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/biggest-countries-world-2100

到本世纪末,预计非洲将拥有世界上人口最多的国家的大部分。 目前,人口最多的十个国家中有五个(中国、印度、印度尼西亚、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国)位于亚洲; 然而,到2100年,只有两个国家保持这一位置。届时,尼日利亚、埃塞俄比亚、坦桑尼亚和刚果民主共和国这四个非洲国家将跻身世界前十。 尽管一些亚洲国家将保持人口增长,但中国和孟加拉国等其他国家的人口可能会因生活水平和教育机会的提高而导致出生率下降而下降。 曾经拥有多个大国的欧洲,其婴儿数量从 1950 年的 4 个减少到 2020 年的仅 1 个,到 2100 年则不再存在。截至目前,全球平均每年出生 2.3 个婴儿,导致全球婴儿出生人数不断增长。 尽管出生人数总体下降,但人口数量仍然增加。 如果目前的趋势持续下去,到 2100 年,总生育率可能降至每名妇女 1.9 个孩子,导致全球人口下降。

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原文

Populous countries and strong population growth are most often associated with Asia today. But as Statista's Anna Fleck details below, according to data by the United Nations, come the turn of the century, the balance will be less clear cut.

Infographic: The Biggest Countries in the World in 2100 | Statista

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In 2020, five out of the ten most populous countries in the world were located in Asia - China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan and Bangladesh - while two were in Latin America, one was in Africa and one in North America.

Come 2100, four African nations will place in the world’s top ten: Nigeria, Ethiopia, Tanzania and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

While some Asian countries will continue to grow, they will do so at a lower rate and will be surpassed in population by African countries exhibiting faster growth. Others, like China and Bangladesh are actually expected to shrink until 2100, mainly a result of higher standard of living and education that has already begun to lower birth rates.

In 1950, four European countries were still among the world’s largest. That number will have decreased to one in 2020 and none in 2100.

The number of children born worldwide is already decreasing, but at 2.3 children born per woman, the world’s population is still growing.

UN population researchers found that if the global fertility rate kept dropping at the rate it currently is, it would reach 1.9 children per woman in 2100, at which point the world population would actually be decreasing.

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