黄金因“软”数据暴跌而飙升至新高; 股票和债券抛售
Gold Surges To New Record High On 'Soft' Data Slump; Stocks & Bonds Dump'n'Pump

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gold-surges-new-record-high-soft-data-slump-stocks-bonds-dumpnpump

美国股市并未因中国稳定本国股市的努力而受到影响。 相反,人民币兑美元汇率已达到2023年5月以来的最高点。这导致美元指数下跌。 美国国内经济方面,不断出现消费者信心下降、房价增长放缓、制造业活动大幅下降等负面消息,让人想起新冠疫情封锁水平。 这些因素导致2024年降息预期上升,预计还会有三次降息。 然而,对 2025 年进一步削减的预期仍然稳定。 由于这些进展,金价飙升至 2650 美元以上的新纪录高点,创下至少 30 年来最佳表现。 尽管美国股市开盘初期显示出抛售压力的迹象,但买家介入支持股市,尤其是表现优于大盘的纳斯达克指数。 名为 Mag7 的波动率指数在交易日内出现大幅波动。 加密货币比特币也经历了一些上涨,达到约 64,000 美元的日高点。 美国股市的持续上涨可能归因于全球流动性,而不是美国经济状况。 有人建议,投资比特币可能是利用这种不断增加的流动性的一种手段,但尚未完全定价。

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原文

Despite China's 'heroic' measures to save its stock market, US (and European) equities were less than impressed...

Source: Bloomberg

...the yuan strengthened to 7.01/USD (strongest vs USD since May 2023)...

Source: Bloomberg

...and that sent the dollar index lower...

Source: Bloomberg

Domestically, bad news was bad news... consumer confidence crashed, home price appreciation slowed, and Richmond Fed manufacturing survey collapsed to COVID lockdown lows all sparked the biggest drop in 'soft' macro data since April...

Source: Bloomberg

...which pushed rate-cut expectations (dovishly) higher for 2024 (above 3 more rate-cuts expected now), while 2025 cuts remain flat-ish around 4 cuts...

Source: Bloomberg

...and while other asset classes were moved on this, gold shone most, surging up to a new record high above $2650...

Source: Bloomberg

This is gold's best YTD performance in at least 30 years...

Source: Bloomberg

The US equity open saw immediate selling pressure but BTFD-ers stepped in to rescue stocks with Nasdaq outperforming (as the other majors clung to unchanged/small green on the day)...

The basket of Mag7 stocks shows the day's big swing most clearly...

Source: Bloomberg

Most Shorted stocks also had a turbulent day... surging higher at the open only to be monkeyhammered to the lows of the day before a panic-bid squeezed it back to the highs....

Source: Bloomberg

Treasury yields were lower across the curve with the short-end outperforming (but the day was a rollercoaster with overnight selling erased by US session buying in USTs)...

Source: Bloomberg

The yield curve continues to steepen with 2s10s now at +20bps - its steepest since June 2022...

Source: Bloomberg

Crude prices bounced back from yesterday's weakness (thanks to China) with WTI topping $72 - the highs of the month...

Source: Bloomberg

Bitcoin rallied up to $64,000 intraday - but remains somewhat rangebound...

Source: Bloomberg

And finally, still wondering why stocks just won't stop rising despite all the 'fears'...

Source: Bloomberg

Wonder no more - it's not the economy, its global liquidity, stupid! And the Chinese just primed the pump for even more.

And if you are looking for a way to play that surge in liquidity that isn't already priced in...

Source: Bloomberg

Bitcoin is ready to move.

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