抵押贷款利率高达 7%,曼哈顿公寓租金攀升至夏季高位 Manhattan Apartment Rents Climb To Summer Highs As Mortgage Rates Top 7%

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/manhattan-apartment-rents-climb-summer-highs-mortgage-rates-top-7

在曼哈顿,不断上升的抵押贷款利率(30 年期抵押贷款利率为 7%)降低了住房负担能力,导致租金飙升(年增长率为 2.4%,达到 4,295 美元)。 这种趋势在布鲁克林(每年上涨 3.2% 至 3,600 美元)和皇后区(每年上涨 5% 至 3,350 美元)也可见。 在特朗普政府领导下通胀加剧的预期推动下,抵押贷款利率上升,阻碍了购房并迫使租房者重返市场。 Miller Samuel 总裁乔纳森·米勒 (Jonathan Miller) 强调,抵押贷款利率对租金有很大影响,抵押贷款利率较高通常会导致租金上涨。 他指出,租赁签约量激增(增加 24%)可能表明,由于抵押贷款利率仍然很高,租赁市场的活动有所增加。 米勒预测,鉴于当前的经济前景和抵押贷款利率预测,租金可能会保持稳定或继续上涨。

In Manhattan, rising mortgage rates (7% for 30-year mortgages) have reduced home affordability, leading to a surge in rents (2.4% annual increase to $4,295). This trend is also seen in Brooklyn (3.2% annual increase to $3,600) and Queens (5% annual increase to $3,350). Higher mortgage rates, driven by expectations of increased inflation under the Trump administration, have deterred home purchases and pushed renters back into the market. Jonathan Miller, president of Miller Samuel, emphasizes that mortgage rates strongly influence rents, with higher mortgage rates generally leading to higher rents. He notes that a surge in lease signings (24% increase) may indicate increased activity in the rental market as mortgage rates remain high. Miller predicts that rents will likely stay stable or continue to rise, given the current economic outlook and mortgage rate projections.


Manhattan Apartment Rents Climb To Summer Highs As Mortgage Rates Top 7%

Prospective homebuyers in Manhattan were sidelined last month as the rate on a 30-year mortgage topped 7%. As a result, rents in the borough rose to three-month highs due to sliding housing affordability.

Bloomberg cited new data from brokerage Douglas Elliman Real Estate and appraiser Miller Samuel that showed the median Manhattan apartment rent climbed 2.4% from a year earlier to $4,295. This was the first annual gain since April.

In other surrounding boroughs, new leases signed in Brooklyn last month averaged around $3,600, up 3.2% from a year earlier. In northwest Queens, median rents were up nearly 5% to $3,350.

Source: Bloomberg

In recent weeks, the US 10-year Treasury bond yield, which lenders use as a guide to price home loans, jumped in anticipation of a Trump win. Yields soared even after the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate. This is mostly because traders forecasted elevated inflation under the Trump administration. 

Jonathan Miller, president of Miller Samuel, noted that lower mortgage rates lured some renters to purchase homes before the presidential election. However, he noted that rents started to re-accelerate as soon as mortgage rates bottomed in late September and surged through October. He added that a 30-year mortgage rate over 7% has pressured rents higher. 

"Rents tend to follow mortgage rates," Miller said, adding, "The higher the mortgage rate, the higher rent."

Miller said newly signed leases jumped 24% last month compared to one year ago. He noted that higher rates have sparked a surge in activity this fall. 

"Mortgage rates still aren't coming down," Miller said, pointing out, "Economic policy would not seem to suggest that mortgage rates will fall significantly. If anything, rents will stay where they are, or rise, moving forward."

Tyler Durden Thu, 11/14/2024 - 22:35
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