市场将遭遇 50% 的崩盘?兰斯·罗伯茨和迈克尔·潘托今晚将进行辩论
Markets Due For A 50% Crash? Lance Roberts And Michael Pento To Debate Tonight

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/are-markets-due-50-crash-lance-roberts-and-michael-pento-debate-tonight

ZeroHedge 将于 12 月 25 日举办一场辩论,兰斯·罗伯茨(Lance Roberts)(看涨)和迈克尔·彭托(Michael Pento)(看跌)讨论他们对 2025 年的市场前景。Pento 预测在不久的将来将出现重大市场崩盘,并声称“买入并持有”策略将是灾难性的。罗伯茨虽然担心税前投资组合的再平衡,但仍保持谨慎乐观,并反对末日崩盘的预测。辩论将涵盖影响彭托紧急呼吁的因素,包括:特朗普新政府的潜在市场影响、深州干预和美联储政策。这场辩论将于东部时间晚上 7 点在 ZeroHedge 主页上专门向高级和专业订阅者开放。

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原文

When Christmas comes and every analyst breaks out their 2025 predictions, what good is it if you can’t challenge the thesis? Rather than letting someone talk their book, we are bringing a new format.

Tune in to the ZeroHedge homepage tonight at 7pm ET for an exclusive end-of-year debate with Lance Roberts (the bull) of RIA Advisors and Michael Pento (the bear) of Pento Portfolio Strategies who will give their 2025 market outlooks. Moderating will be Real Vision’s Ash Bennington.

At the center of the debate will be Pento’s call for a major 50%+ crash in the near future, as he told Thoughtful Money’s Adam Taggart last week. According to Pento, “buy-and-hold” investors’ days are numbered:

“We have an artificial construct for the economy and the market, and it is extremely dangerous,” Pento told Taggart. “It is going to be disastrous for those that buy and hold in perpetuity — the 60-40 portfolio, target date funds, closet indexing forever — they are going to get wiped out.”

Meanwhile Roberts — a self-described buy-and-hold investor “while markets are rising” — remains concerned about pre-tax portfolio rebalancing. He’s cautiously bullish for 2025 and is no fan of doomer crash predictions, arguing they harm investors more than they help them.

“When? They’ll never tell you when.”

We’ll dive into what factors lead Pento to his dramatic call, how the new Trump Admin is likely to affect markets (also how the Deep State could f*** things up), Fed policy/interest rates, and more.

The debate will be stream exclusively to premium and professional subscribers, embedded right at the top of the ZH homepage at 7pm ET. If you are not already a subscriber, sign up here to catch tonight’s debate.

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