苏伊士运河收入下降 60%,但红海前景可能正在改变
Suez Canal Revenue Down 60%, But Red Sea Outlook May Be Changing

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/suez-canal-revenue-down-60-red-sea-outlook-may-be-changing

由于红海航运遭受袭击以及地区紧张局势,苏伊士运河的收入锐减60%。埃及因此损失了 70 亿美元的收入。驻也门的胡塞武装分子对此次袭击负责,导致船只转向远离该地区。由于改道,运费飙升,承运人受益。一支多国部队一直在该地区巡逻,为商船提供护航。由于伊朗内部问题以及胡塞武装转而针对以色列,袭击最近有所平息。叙利亚阿萨德政权垮台和俄罗斯从港口撤军也加剧了中东的不确定性。专家预测,随着安全状况的改善,红海航运服务将于 2025 年下半年恢复。

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原文

By Stuart Chris of FreightWaves

Suez Canal revenue has plunged 60% this year, a loss of $7 billion for Egypt, amid attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and ongoing regional tensions.

President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in a statement blamed rising geopolitical challenges for the decline but offered no other details, according to published reports.

Egypt collects tolls on vessels that transit the canal, a key route for maritime commerce. 

Since late 2023, Houthi fighters based in Yemen have disrupted global trade by attacking merchant and naval vessels in the Red Sea, just south of the canal. Most major container ship operators have diverted ships away from the region and on longer, more expensive voyages around the Horn of Africa, for services connecting Asia with the United States, Mideast and Mediterranean. The diversions have pushed up shipping rates and boosted carriers’ profits by billions of dollars.

A multinational force of American and European military has patrolled the area, providing escorts for merchant vessels.

The Iran-backed Houthis have said the missile and drone assaults are in solidarity with Palestinians in the Israel-Hamas war. But the attacks have recently tailed off as Iran grapples with its own internal issues, and the Houthis have increasingly targeted Israel itself. The fall of the Assad regime in Syria and withdrawal of Russia from ports there have added to the uncertainty surrounding events in the Middle East.   

Some observers forecast a return of Red Sea shipping services as security improves, but likely not until the second half of 2025.

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