我们还需要多少次成功的UBI试验?
Just How Many More Successful UBI Trials Do We Need?

原始链接: https://medium.com/the-no%C3%B6sphere/just-how-many-more-successful-ubi-trials-do-we-need-64ed124c7001

普遍基本收入 (UBI) 的理念,即政府定期无条件地支付基本生活补贴,引发了激烈的辩论。反对者担心这会滋生懒惰,导致社会崩溃,他们认为如果没有生存压力,人类天生就是懒惰的,不事生产的。“免费的钱”会降低人们工作的积极性,把社会变成一张巨大的吊床。这种担忧基于人类天性懒惰的假设。 然而,越来越多的证据,包括德国大规模UBI试点项目的结果,表明情况并非如此。这些证据表明,人类并非天生懒惰,UBI有可能行得通。尽管有这些证据,对UBI的担忧依然存在,其可行性问题仍然是一个反复出现的主题。

Hacker News 上的一个帖子讨论了基于一篇关于普遍基本收入 (UBI) 成功试点的文章的可行性。核心论点是目前的试点存在缺陷,因为参与者知道试点是暂时的,因此无法反映现实世界中永久性 UBI 的影响。人们担心通货膨胀,特别是租金会随着 UBI 的增加而上涨,从而抵消其益处。一些人建议在 UBI 同时实行固定税收以避免通货膨胀,另一些人则建议实行价格管制以防止企业利用额外的收入。 反驳意见认为,UBI 带来的需求增加会刺激供给和竞争,从而保持价格合理。有人提到新冠疫情期间的刺激性支票类似于 UBI 的实验,导致了通货膨胀,而另一些人则认为新冠疫情是人们不工作的原因。替代方案包括与中央银行建立直接信贷关系,而不是 UBI 支付。一些人怀疑 UBI 的社会效益,以福利计划为例,认为领取福利的人并没有创作出重要的文化作品。一些人认为,在实行 UBI 之前,应该先补贴教育和医疗等基本服务,以避免倦怠和缺乏目标感。对此的反驳是,世界上已经有许多国家已经拥有了这些服务。
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原文
Katie Jgln
10 min read

May 27, 2025
Image licensed from Shutterstock

To some, the idea of a guaranteed, unconditional monthly check from the government to cover basic needs is the pinnacle of socialist evil. And the first stop on the express train to the collapse of civilisation as we know it.

Take away the sacred struggle to survive, the logic goes, and society will turn into one giant communal hammock faster than you can say, ‘no one wants to work anymore.’

This fear that ‘free money’ — such as universal basic income (UBI) — would kill motivation and productivity has been around almost as long as the idea itself. And at its core lies a tired myth, echoed by thinkers across time and cultures: that human nature is inherently lazy and rotten and that without pressure or the threat of hardship, people will do nothing all day, every day. Yet a growing body of evidence — including Germany’s recent large-scale basic income trial — points in quite a different direction.

The only trouble is that this opposing narrative about human behaviour still seems painfully slow to take hold.

And we keep asking, over and over again — but could UBI actually work?

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