联合国认为,全球28个最大风险
The 28 Biggest Global Risks, According To The UN

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/28-biggest-global-risks-according-un

《联合国全球风险报告》 2024年根据对全球1100名利益相关者的调查,确定了28个关键的全球风险,并以其可能性和严重性的排名。环境风险占主导地位,“气候变化无所作部”以“大规模污染”为顶。 “错误和虚假信息”总体排名第三,但被认为是最直接和普遍的风险,目前影响84%的受访者。 区域优先事项有所不同,北非和亚洲特别关心网络安全和AI。值得注意的是,世界为“基于空间的事件”和“网络安全崩溃”做好了准备。尽管环境问题得到普遍认可,但该报告突出了有可能压倒现有系统的相互联系的危机。世界经济论坛的全球风险报告证实了解决错误和虚假信息的紧迫性,并提供了对近期和长期全球风险的进一步见解。

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原文

As the world confronts overlapping crises, from accelerating climate change to the unchecked spread of misinformation, global risks are increasingly interconnected, compounding one another in ways that could overwhelm current institutions and systems.

This visualization, via Visual Capitalist's Kayla Zhu, shows the top 28 most important global risk as outlined in the United Nations Global Risk Report 2024.

Risk importance combines the likelihood and severity of a risk, with top risks seen as most likely to occur with severe impacts if or when they manifest.

Rankings are based on a survey of 1,100 stakeholders across 136 countries which includes representatives of government, industry, civil society, and academia.

Below, we show the top 28 most important global risks and their importance scores, according to the United Nations.

RankRiskImportance ScoreCategory
1Climate Change Inaction37.2Environmental
2Large-Scale Pollution36.0Environmental
3Mis- and Disinformation35.4Political
4Natural Hazard Risks35.0Environmental
5Rise in Inequalities34.7Societal
6Biodiversity Decline34.6Environmental
7Geopolitical Tensions34.5Political
8Natural Resource Shortages34.3Environmental
9Mass Movement of People33.2Societal
10Large-Scale War32.6Political
11Biorisks32.3Societal
12New Pandemic32.1Societal
13Rule of Law Collapse32.0Political
14Cybersecurity Breakdown31.7Technological
15Global Financial Crisis31.6Economic
16Weapons of Mass Destruction31.1Political
17AI and Frontier Tech31.0Technological
18Proliferation of Non-State Actors30.8Societal
19Tech-Driven Power Concentration30.8Technological
20Social Cohesion Collapse30.4Societal
21Widespread Debt Crisis30.2Economic
22Economic Fragmentation29.1Economic
23State Sovereignty Erosion28.5Political
24Global Economic Stagnation27.9Economic
25Supply Chain Collapse27.8Economic
26Geoengineering Disasters27.5Technological
27Multilateral Institution Collapse26.3Political
28Space-Based Event23.4Environmental

Across all regions, environmental risks emerged as the highest priority, with climate change inaction and large-scale pollution both seen as highly likely and highly severe.

Climate change inaction was the most important risk overall, ranking as the most pressing issue in three of the seven regions.

In total, 84% of respondents said mis- and disinformation is already occurring, making it the most immediate risk today, according to the UN.

Mis- and disinformation also ranked as the top risk in the next two years, according to the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Report.

While environmental concerns were top of mind for all regions, other perceptions varied by region. For example, in North Africa and Asia, concerns about cybersecurity breakdowns and artificial intelligence (AI) were among the top 10 risks, unlike in other regions.

Cybersecurity breakdowns were among the least prepared-for risks, with a preparedness score of just 3.9 out of 7. The only risk the world is less prepared for is a potential space-based event.

To learn more about risks the world is facing in the near and long term, check out this graphic that visualizes the top global risks, as ranked by the World Economic Forum.

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