Vice President JD Vance appeared on Sunday's Meet the Press on NBC where he presented a generally positive view of Russia-Ukraine peace efforts mediated by Trump, despite the broad consensus being that talks are stalled and neither side has budged from their maximal positions.
Vance claimed the US President still has "a lot of cards left to play to apply pressure" to end the war. "I think the Russians have made significant concessions to President Trump for the first time in three and a half years of this conflict," he said.
Some observers have pointed out, however, that it's a major concession for Moscow to even be engaged in peace dialogue at all, given that by pretty much all metrics it is dominant and winning on the battlefield. It's a concession in its own right for the winning side to even be talking at all.
"They've actually been willing to be flexible on some of their core demands. They've talked about what would be necessary to end the war. Of course, they haven't been completely there yet, or the war would be over. But we're engaging in this diplomatic process in good faith," Vance continued.
The vice president suggested that while Russia indeed has maintained the upper-hand, it has been unable to do everything it wants. "They've recognized that they're not going to be able to install a puppet regime in Kyiv. That was, of course, a major demand at the beginning," Vance described.
"And importantly, they've acknowledged that there is going to be some security guarantee to the territorial integrity of Ukraine." And yet, the Kremlin has rejected outright the idea of deploying Western peacekeeping troops to Ukraine, or the deployment of NATO air power.
That's when he said, "We, of course, have pushed for a ceasefire. But again, we don't control what Russia does. ... What we do believe though is that we continue to have a lot of cards. The president of the United States has a lot of cards left to play to apply pressure to try to bring this conflict to a close, and that's what we're going to do."
This of course includes sanctions, which Vance made clear are not off the table. Days ago Trump said he'll make a major decision in two weeks if talks don't advance at all.
The reality remains that Putin has made clear that he won't meet with Zelensky unless it is to sign and full and final truce agreement, and not a mere temporary ceasefire.
Essentially a deal has to already be done, and only then would the two presidents meet directly, the Kremlin has said. Otherwise, it becomes a meeting just for the spectacle of having a meeting, the foreign ministry has previously explained. Clearly this scenario of a top-level bilateral meeting is still a long way off...
Zelensky has claimed this Kremlin stance is purposeful, to avoid achieving peace and press the battle forward. Zelensky asserted Friday "the Russians are trying to do anything to avoid the meeting" because "they do not want to end the war" on Ukraine.
But Russia's top diplomat Sergei Lavrov had also stated Friday "Putin is ready to meet with Zelensky, when the agenda would be ready for a summit," but underscored: "and this agenda is not ready at all."