康卡斯特网络灾难:夏季收视率暴跌49%,广告商陷入困境
Comcast Network Horror: Summer Ratings Crash 49%, Advertisers In Major Bind

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/summer-tv-ratings-collapse-puts-advertisers-bind

高盛最新尼尔森数据显示,截至8月底,传统电视收视率持续且加速下降,原因是观众正在迁移到流媒体服务。到8月24日,主要有线网络收视率大幅下降,其中康卡斯特同比下降幅度最大,为-49%。 广播网络的情况也好不到哪里去。黄金时段商业收视率同比下降54%(包括体育赛事),不包括体育赛事则下降20%。迪士尼、派拉蒙、华纳兄弟探索和福克斯全天收视率均出现两位数的百分比下降。 这一趋势与瑞银此前关于流媒体在5月份超越传统电视的报告相呼应,对广告商提出了重大挑战。传统电视不断萎缩且 менее 可预测的受众群体,需要将广告支出转向流媒体、数字平台和替代媒体,以有效地触达消费者。这些数据凸显了媒体格局的根本性变化以及广告商快速适应的必要性。

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原文

Building on our previous reporting (read here) about the summer collapse in traditional TV ratings, Goldman's latest Nielsen tracker delivers yet more evidence of cord-cutting accelerating into the end of August as audiences migrate to streaming. For advertisers, it's another blow: the viewership base is dwindling, leading some marketers to scramble for new, innovative platforms to reach consumers. 

On Monday, a Goldman analyst team led by Michael Ng highlighted to clients yet another series of grim data points from traditional TV:

We refresh our Nielsen TV ratings tracker for our US Media coverage (DIS, CMCSA, PSKY, WBD, FOXA) that includes traditional ACM (average commercial minute) prime time and total day ratings across broadcast and cable. This edition focuses on the C3 cable and broadcast ratings through week ending August 10, 2025 (14 day delay), and L3 cable ratings through week ending August 24, 2025.

  • Prime time commercial ratings for broadcast ex-sports were down 20% yoy in 3Q25-to-date (through week ending August 10).

  • Prime time commercial ratings decreased 54% for broadcast including sports and declined -28% for cable, in 3Q25-to-date (through week ending August 10).

Through August 24, cable networks continued to lose viewers. In 3Q25 so far, total day ratings fell at Disney (-11%), Paramount Skydance (-22%), Fox (-20%), Warner Bros. Discovery (-26%), AMC Networks (-34%), and Comcast (-49%).

Exhibit 1: Comcast viewership declined the most QTD at -49% y/y C3Q25-to-date

Additional TV ratings data for the period through August 10:

C3 ratings released

Nielsen released the latest C3 ratings' data for the week ending August 10, 2025. Cable network primetime ratings for 3Q25-to-date (through August 10) are down 28% yoy. For a sequential comparison, in 2Q25 cable network primetime ratings were down 21% yoy. In 3Q25-to-date, broadcast network primetime ratings are down 54% yoy and down 20% yoy excluding sports. For a sequential comparison, ratings for broadcast primetime were down 15% yoy while broadcast primetime ex-sports were down 21% in 2Q25.

Broadcast primetime:

-54% yoy 3Q25-to-date Broadcast network primetime ratings (C3, A18-49 demo) were down 54% yoy for 3Q25-to-date, reflecting declines at ABC (-12%), CBS (-3%), FOX (-34%) and NBC (-80%) (Exhibit 2). For a sequential comparison, ratings in 2Q25 were down 15% yoy, reflecting growth at CBS (9%), offset by declines at FOX (-34%), NBC (-30%) and ABC (-10%).

Broadcast primetime (ex-sports):

-20% yoy 3Q25-to-date Excluding sports, broadcast network primetime ratings (C3, A18-49 demo) for 3Q25-to-date were down 20% yoy, reflecting declines at ABC (-6%), CBS (-5%), NBC (-20%) and FOX (-45%) (Exhibit 3). For a sequential comparison, ratings for 2Q25 decreased 21% yoy, reflecting declines at FOX (-37%), ABC (-13%), CBS (-15%) and NBC (-19%).

Cable primetime:

-28% yoy 3Q25-to-date Aggregate cable network primetime ratings (C3, A18-49 demo) were down 28% yoy in 3Q25-to-date, worse than 21% decline in 2Q25. In 3Q25-to-date, total day ratings (C3, target demos) declined at DIS (-3%), PSKY (-18%), WBD (-20%), CMCSA (-44%), AMCX (-28%), and FOX (-23%). FNC was down 18% yoy in the same period. For a sequential comparison, in 2Q25 ratings declined at DIS (-17%), PSKY (-21%), WBD (-19%), CMCSA (-25%), and AMCX (-17%), while FOX (18%) grew.

Broadcast primetime ratings (including sports) by broadcast network

Broadcast primetime ratings (excluding sports) by broadcast networks

Cable network ratings by parent company

Earlier this summer, analysts from UBS, led by John Hodulik, marked the point in May where the share of streaming consumption surpassed traditional TV (read here).

The larger issue here is that declining traditional TV ratings create a massive headache for advertisers, because the entire ad-buying model was built on TV's ability to deliver large, predictable, mass audiences. This means advertisers must entirely overhaul their strategies and move ad dollars into streaming, digital, and or the world of alternative news media.

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