这些是按预计2026年GDP计算的欧洲顶级经济体。
These Are Europe's Top Economies By Projected 2026 GDP

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/these-are-europes-top-economies-projected-2026-gdp

## 欧洲经济复苏:2026年预测 国际货币基金组织(IMF)预测欧洲经济活动将出现复苏,预计到2026年总产出将达到31.4万亿美元(或27.0万亿欧元)。这标志着在连续两年缓慢增长后的复苏,预计西欧将获得最大收益。 德国有望领跑,经济增加近4000亿美元,达到5.3万亿美元——约占欧洲总GDP的17%。英国和法国紧随其后,预计分别为4.2万亿美元和3.6万亿美元,共同产生该大陆超过40%的经济产出。 虽然南欧(意大利和西班牙)预计将实现适度扩张,但东欧将由俄罗斯(2.5万亿美元)和波兰(1.1万亿美元)驱动。尽管东欧经济增长,但与西方国家相比,收入差距仍然显著。 国际货币基金组织指出,复苏得益于良好的政策决策和实际工资上涨,但面临全球贸易不确定性带来的阻力——特别是潜在的贸易战,这在一定程度上被基础设施和国防方面的政府支出增加所抵消。

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原文

After two years of sluggish activity, Europe’s economic engine is forecast to regain traction.

As Visual Capitalist's Pallavi Rao shows in the chart below, The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) latest World Economic Outlook projects that the region’s combined output will reach $31.4 trillion (€27.0 trillion) in 2026, with the biggest gains concentrated in Western Europe.

Data for this visualization comes from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook database. It ranks every European country by projected nominal GDP in current U.S. dollars and euros.

Regions are assigned by the UN Geoscheme.

Germany Leads Europe’s Largest Economies

Germany is expected to reclaim momentum, adding almost $400 billion to its economy between 2024 and 2026.

At $5.3 trillion, it will account for roughly 17% of all European GDP.

RankEuropean CountryISO Code2026 GDP
(billions USD)
Readable Label
(USD)
Readable Label
(EUR)
1🇩🇪 GermanyDEU$5,328$5.3T€4.6T
2🇬🇧 UKGBR$4,226$4.2T€3.6T
3🇫🇷 FranceFRA$3,559$3.6T€3.1T
4🇮🇹 ItalyITA$2,702$2.7T€2.3T
5🇷🇺 RussiaRUS$2,509$2.5T€2.2T
6🇪🇸 SpainESP$2,042$2.0T€1.8T
7🇳🇱 NetherlandsNLD$1,413$1.4T€1.2T
8🇵🇱 PolandPOL$1,110$1.1T€955B
9🇨🇭 SwitzerlandCHE$1,075$1.1T€924B
10🇧🇪 BelgiumBEL$761$761B€655B
11🇮🇪 IrelandIRL$750$750B€645B
12🇸🇪 SwedenSWE$712$712B€612B
13🇦🇹 AustriaAUT$604$604B€520B
14🇳🇴 NorwayNOR$548$548B€471B
15🇩🇰 DenmarkDNK$500$500B€430B
16🇷🇴 RomaniaROU$445$445B€383B
17🇨🇿 CzechiaCZE$417$417B€359B
18🇵🇹 PortugalPRT$365$365B€313B
19🇫🇮 FinlandFIN$336$336B€289B
20🇬🇷 GreeceGRC$305$305B€262B
21🇭🇺 HungaryHUN$270$270B€232B
22🇺🇦 UkraineUKR$224$224B€193B
23🇸🇰 SlovakiaSVK$168$168B€144B
24🇧🇬 BulgariaBGR$142$142B€122B
25🇭🇷 CroatiaHRV$113$113B€97B
26🇷🇸 SerbiaSRB$112$112B€96B
27🇱🇺 LuxembourgLUX$108$108B€93B
28🇱🇹 LithuaniaLTU$105$105B€90B
29🇧🇾 BelarusBLR$91$91B€78B
30🇸🇮 SloveniaSVN$86$86B€74B
31🇱🇻 LatviaLVA$52$52B€45B
32🇪🇪 EstoniaEST$51$51B€44B
33🇮🇸 IcelandISL$43$43B€37B
34🇧🇦 Bosnia & HerzegovinaBIH$36$36B€31B
35🇦🇱 AlbaniaALB$32$32B€28B
36🇲🇹 MaltaMLT$30$30B€26B
37🇲🇩 MoldovaMDA$21$21B€18B
38🇲🇰 North MacedoniaMKD$21$21B€18B
39🇲🇪 MontenegroMNE$10$10B€9B
40🇦🇩 AndorraAND$5$5B€4B
41🇸🇲 San MarinoSMR$2$2B€2B
N/A🇪🇺 Western EuropeW EUR$12,848$12.8T€11.0T
N/A🇪🇺 Northern EuropeN EUR$7,322$7.3T€6.3T
N/A🇪🇺 Southern Europe EuropeS EUR$5,861$5.9T€5.0T
N/A🇪🇺 Eastern EuropeE EUR$5,397$5.4T€4.6T
N/A🇪🇺 EuropeEUR$31,427$31.4T€27.0T

Note: Euro figures from exchange rate conversion. 1 USD = 0.86 EUR

Close behind, the U.K. and France are projected at $4.2 trillion and $3.6 trillion, respectively.

Together, the trio will generate over 40% of Europe’s total economic activity. This underscores how the big markets dominate the regional picture.

ℹ️ Related: In fact, the German economy is as big as the entire Eastern European economy ($5.4T).

Southern and Eastern Europe Show Diverging Paths

The continent can effectively be divided into two halves: the Northern and Western half and the Southern and Eastern half.

Italy and Spain, Southern Europe’s heavyweights, are on course for modest expansion, at $2.7 trillion and $1.8 trillion in 2026.

RankEuropean Region2026 GDP
(billions USD)
Readable Label
(USD)
Readable Label
(EUR)
1🇪🇺 Western Europe$12,848$12.8T€11.0T
2🇪🇺 Northern Europe$7,322$7.3T€6.3T
3🇪🇺 Southern Europe Europe$5,861$5.9T€5.0T
4🇪🇺 Eastern Europe$5,397$5.4T€4.6T
N/A🇪🇺 Europe$31,427$31.4T€27.0T

In Eastern Europe, Russia is projected at $2.5 trillion, aided by energy exports, while Poland breaks into the continental top 10 at $1.1 trillion.

However, despite a decade of super-charged growth that has lifted real GDP per capita in the East, there’s still a ways to go to close the income gap with the West.

ℹ️ Related: Take a look at where living standards have grown the most in Europe in the last decade.

Europe’s Economic Outlook for 2026

The IMF has good and bad news for Europe.

The good news is that the pandemic and energy shocks have passed and the continent is officially in recovery mode thanks to “good policy decisions.”

This had led to higher real wages that have boosted consumption, particularly in Germany, the largest economy.

The bad news is that Donald Trump’s trade war is causing uncertainty and will shave off 0.5% of growth, which will be somewhat offset by higher infrastructure and defense spending.

However, in turn this higher government spending is coming at the expense of debt.

How does Europe’s economy look when accounting for local prices? Check out Breaking Down Europe’s Economy, Adjusted for Living Costs on Voronoi, the new app from Visual Capitalist.

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