中国是否引发了高超音速导弹领域的“深度探索时刻”?
Did China Trigger A "DeepSeek Moment" In Hypersonic Missiles

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/military/did-china-trigger-deepseek-moment-hypersonic-missiles

中国可能通过揭示由凌空天行公司开发的YKJ-1000导弹,彻底改变了超音速武器。这种7马赫的滑翔武器生产成本非常低廉——据估计仅为10万美元——这归功于其使用易于获得、民用级别的组件。 这一发展引起了美国军方的担忧,美国目前缺乏部署的超音速武器,并且拦截器的生产成本远高于YKJ-1000(每单位从400万美元到1500万美元不等)。 YKJ-1000的低成本极大地改变了冲突的经济性,有可能用大量廉价导弹压倒防御。 这款导弹体现了中国成功的“军民融合”战略,利用其强大的制造基础。专家认为,YKJ-1000在国际军备市场上将具有高度竞争力,以远低于现有系统成本的价格提供重要能力。这标志着一个潜在的“DeepSeek时刻”——一种范式转变——在超音速战争中。

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原文

China has triggered a "DeepSeek moment" in hypersonic weapons, unveiling cement-coated Mach-7 missiles that can be mass-produced for roughly $100,000 per unit. The development is setting off alarm bells within the U.S. military, which has yet to field a hypersonic weapon and cannot come anywhere close to matching such production costs.

The South China Morning Post reports that Chinese private aerospace firm Lingkong Tianxing introduced the YKJ-1000, a Mach-7 hypersonic glide weapon built almost entirely from civilian-grade materials to keep costs ultra-low.

Slides circulating on X claim the YKJ-1000 costs just $100,000 to produce. The economics are absolutely staggering because a U.S. SM-6 interceptor costs about $4 million per unit, a THAAD interceptor can run upwards of $15 million, and a Patriot PAC-3 can cost as much as $4.2 million.

"Developed by a private company rather than state-owned firms, demonstrating the success of China's Military–Civil Fusion strategy," one slide reads.

The economics of war shift dramatically when missiles become cheap. Low-cost hypersonic systems will reduce Beijing's marginal cost of engagement. Just imagine: a swarm of YKJ-1000s would cost the U.S. or regional Asian allies hundreds of millions to shoot down in the event of a conflict.

The missile showcases how China leverages its civilian manufacturing base of low-cost sensors, BeiDou chips, off-the-shelf camera modules, die-cast structures, and other locally produced technologies.

"If this missile were introduced on the international defence market, it would be formidably competitive," military commentator Wei Dongxu told state broadcaster CCTV earlier this week.

Dongxu added: "Many nations have yet to develop their own hypersonic missiles, and this one—with its long range, high destructive power, and strong penetration capability—would likely become a hot commodity due to its dirt-cheap price."

If the report is accurate, then the "DeepSeek moment" for hypersonic missiles has officially arrived.

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